Sport Picks
Notaresco Calcio vs Recanatese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group F 
Match Events
19'
19'
Melloni L.
71'
71'
Trasciani D.
90'
90'
Infantino S.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F game between Notaresco Calcio and Recanatese finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Notaresco Calcio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Notaresco Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Notaresco Calcio come out ahead of Recanatese on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Notaresco Calcio's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Recanatese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Notaresco Calcio | Recanatese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Recanatese
2:1
Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Recanatese
2:0
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Notaresco Calcio
1:4
Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Recanatese
1:1
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Notaresco Calcio
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Notaresco Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Melloni L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Infantino S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Recanatese Compare
Top Goalscorer Trasciani D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Notaresco Calcio 95 / 100
Recanatese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Notaresco Calcio Recanatese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Notaresco Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Notaresco Calcio found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).
Recanatese lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Recanatese conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Notaresco Calcio VS Recanatese
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Notaresco Calcio
(Home) 18 Oct
Notaresco Calcio
5 : 2 Maceratese
10 Oct
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1 Recanatese
04 Oct
Montecchio Gallo
0 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
26 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 1 Pietralunga
20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 7
18 Oct
Notaresco Calcio
5 : 2 Maceratese
10 Oct
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1 Recanatese
26 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 1 Pietralunga
16 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0 Santegidiese
06 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 Ancona
Page 1 of 3
Recanatese
(Away) 21 Oct
Ternana
5 : 1 Recanatese
18 Oct
Recanatese
2 : 3 Aquila Calcio
10 Oct
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1 Recanatese
04 Oct
Recanatese
2 : 3 Maceratese
27 Sept
Lanciano FC
4 : 1 Recanatese
Page 1 of 6
21 Oct
Ternana
5 : 1 Recanatese
10 Oct
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1 Recanatese
27 Sept
Lanciano FC
4 : 1 Recanatese
12 Sept
Santegidiese
1 : 1 Recanatese
26 Apr
Teramo
2 : 2 Recanatese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aquila Calcio | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17:5 | 20 |
| 2 | Teramo | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:11 | 19 |
| 3 | Vigor Senigallia | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:12 | 16 |
| 4 | Foligno | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 5 | Notaresco Calcio | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 6 | Ancona | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:8 | 14 |
| 7 | Atletico Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Fossombrone | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:13 | 13 |
| 9 | Montecchio Gallo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 10 | Giulianova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 11 | Lanciano FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:15 | 10 |
| 12 | Termoli | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 13 | Santegidiese | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | 8 |
| 14 | Pietralunga | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | 8 |
| 15 | Maceratese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Recanatese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:14 | 6 |
| 17 | Angelana | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:12 | 4 |
| 18 | Sporting Trestina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4:13 | 4 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)
