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Notec Czarnkow vs Chemik Bydgoszcz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Grzelak O.
43' Event
Grzelak O.
49' Event
Pralat A.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Notec Czarnkow and Chemik Bydgoszcz finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chemik Bydgoszcz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Notec Czarnkow
15%
Draws
39%
Chemik Bydgoszcz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Notec Czarnkow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Chemik Bydgoszcz haven't matched Notec Czarnkow's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Notec Czarnkow's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Notec Czarnkow Clean Sheet 16%
Chemik Bydgoszcz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notec Czarnkow Chemik Bydgoszcz
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Notec Czarnkow Compare

Top Goalscorer Asare B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Chemik Bydgoszcz Compare

Top Goalscorer Grzelak O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pralat A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notec Czarnkow 36 / 100
Chemik Bydgoszcz 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notec Czarnkow Chemik Bydgoszcz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chemik Bydgoszcz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Notec Czarnkow scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Notec Czarnkow remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Notec Czarnkow VS Chemik Bydgoszcz
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Notec Czarnkow

(Home)
31 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
1 : 4
Chemik Bydgoszcz
24 Oct
Victoria Wrzesnia
0 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
17 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 3
Baltyk Koszalin
10 Oct
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0
Swinoujscie
Page 1 of 7

Chemik Bydgoszcz

(Away)
31 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
1 : 4
Chemik Bydgoszcz
24 Oct
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 3
Unia Swarzedz
17 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
2 : 0
Chemik Bydgoszcz
10 Oct
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 3
Gedania Gdansk
03 Oct
Lipno Steszew
0 : 1
Chemik Bydgoszcz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 15 11 4 0 43:20 37
2 Kluczevia Stargard 15 9 2 4 29:25 29
3 Luzino 15 9 1 5 40:25 28
4 Wda Swiecie 15 8 4 3 23:19 28
5 Lech Poznan II 15 7 3 5 39:31 24
6 Blekitni Stargard 15 6 5 4 35:26 23
7 Baltyk Koszalin 15 5 5 5 22:20 20
8 Elana Torun 15 5 5 5 23:25 20
9 Notec Czarnkow 15 6 2 7 21:23 20
10 Unia Swarzedz 15 5 4 6 24:21 19
11 Gedania Gdansk 15 4 7 4 30:29 19
12 KKS Kalisz 15 4 7 4 18:20 19
13 Grom Nowy Staw 15 5 1 9 32:34 16
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 15 3 6 6 24:30 15
15 Swinoujscie 15 4 3 8 18:32 15
16 Lipno Steszew 15 4 2 9 19:29 14
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 15 2 7 6 12:24 13
18 Kotwica Kornik 15 3 2 10 20:39 11
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)