Sport Picks
Notec Czarnkow vs Kluczevia Stargard - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II 
Match Events
21'
21'
Piekarski S.
67'
67'
Kot P.
73'
73'
da Silva de Melo R.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group II game between Notec Czarnkow and Kluczevia Stargard finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Notec Czarnkow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kluczevia Stargard
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Notec Czarnkow come out ahead of Kluczevia Stargard on wins alone.
- Model gives Notec Czarnkow a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Notec Czarnkow Clean Sheet 13%
Kluczevia Stargard Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Notec Czarnkow | Kluczevia Stargard |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Kluczevia Stargard
3:1
Apr 18, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Kluczevia Stargard vs Notec Czarnkow
3:0
Sep 27, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Kluczevia Stargard
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Notec Czarnkow Compare
Top Goalscorer Piekarski S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kot P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Kluczevia Stargard Compare
Top Goalscorer da Silva de Melo R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Notec Czarnkow 48 / 100
Kluczevia Stargard 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Notec Czarnkow Kluczevia Stargard
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Notec Czarnkow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Notec Czarnkow's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Kluczevia Stargard's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Notec Czarnkow went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Notec Czarnkow VS Kluczevia Stargard
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Notec Czarnkow
(Home) 10 Oct
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0 Swinoujscie
26 Sept
Luzino
2 : 0 Notec Czarnkow
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0 Swinoujscie
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
05 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 1 Kluczevia Stargard
22 Aug
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 1 Elana Torun
08 Aug
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 2 Grom Nowy Staw
Page 1 of 3
Kluczevia Stargard
(Away) 09 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 0 Kluczevia Stargard
27 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 0 Kluczevia Stargard
19 Sept
Wda Swiecie
1 : 2 Kluczevia Stargard
12 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1 Elana Torun
05 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 1 Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 0 Kluczevia Stargard
27 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 0 Kluczevia Stargard
19 Sept
Wda Swiecie
1 : 2 Kluczevia Stargard
05 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 1 Kluczevia Stargard
23 Aug
Grom Nowy Staw
3 : 4 Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 35:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 34:13 | 28 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 4 | Blekitni Stargard | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 27:19 | 18 |
| 5 | Wda Swiecie | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 6 | KKS Kalisz | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:15 | 17 |
| 7 | Notec Czarnkow | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 16 |
| 8 | Lech Poznan II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Baltyk Koszalin | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:15 | 15 |
| 10 | Swinoujscie | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 11 | Unia Swarzedz | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 20:19 | 13 |
| 12 | Grom Nowy Staw | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 28:29 | 13 |
| 13 | Elana Torun | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 14 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 15 | Gedania Gdansk | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 23:24 | 11 |
| 16 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Kotwica Kornik | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18:32 | 10 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11:23 | 5 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
