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Notec Czarnkow vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

90'
Kuskowski M.
90'
Kuskowski M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Notec Czarnkow and Polonia Sroda Wielkopol finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Notec Czarnkow
35%
Draws
45%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Polonia Sroda Wielkopol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Polonia Sroda Wielkopol are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Notec Czarnkow Clean Sheet 10%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notec Czarnkow Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 16
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.68 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0:0
May 13, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2:0
Oct 24, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Notec Czarnkow
2:6
Mar 1, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2:4
Aug 10, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Notec Czarnkow
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notec Czarnkow 18 / 100
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notec Czarnkow Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Notec Czarnkow scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Notec Czarnkow stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Notec Czarnkow VS Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1.5 Goals Scored 3
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Notec Czarnkow

(Home)
10 Oct
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0
Swinoujscie
26 Sept
Luzino
2 : 0
Notec Czarnkow
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
Page 1 of 6

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

(Away)
09 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 0
Kluczevia Stargard
03 Oct
Wda Swiecie
0 : 4
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2
Elana Torun
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3
Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 12 5 3 4 30:23 18
5 Lech Poznan II 10 5 3 2 21:17 18
6 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
7 Notec Czarnkow 12 5 2 5 19:16 17
8 KKS Kalisz 12 4 5 3 18:19 17
9 Baltyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16:16 16
10 Unia Swarzedz 12 4 2 6 21:20 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 26:26 14
12 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
14 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 19:24 12
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 12 3 2 7 19:33 11
18 Lipno Steszew 12 2 2 8 15:26 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)