Sport Picks
Notec Czarnkow vs Swinoujscie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II 
Match Events
21'
21'
Kot P.
54'
54'
Piekarski S.
56'
56'
Starosta T.
AI Match Summary
Notec Czarnkow in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Notec Czarnkow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
20%
10%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Notec Czarnkow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Swinoujscie haven't matched Notec Czarnkow's recent run of results.
- 70% — that's where the model lands on Notec Czarnkow taking it.
- Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Notec Czarnkow Clean Sheet 18%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Notec Czarnkow | Swinoujscie |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 2.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Swinoujscie
3:0
Mar 25, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Notec Czarnkow
2:4
Aug 2, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Swinoujscie
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Swinoujscie
4:0
Aug 31, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Notec Czarnkow
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Notec Czarnkow Compare
Top Goalscorer Kot P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Piekarski S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Swinoujscie Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Notec Czarnkow 85 / 100
Swinoujscie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Notec Czarnkow Swinoujscie
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Notec Czarnkow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Swinoujscie let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Notec Czarnkow found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Solid form: Notec Czarnkow remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Notec Czarnkow VS Swinoujscie
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Notec Czarnkow
(Home) 03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0 Swinoujscie
26 Sept
Luzino
2 : 0 Notec Czarnkow
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
12 Sept
Lech Poznan II
2 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
05 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 1 Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0 Swinoujscie
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
05 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 1 Kluczevia Stargard
22 Aug
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 1 Elana Torun
08 Aug
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 2 Grom Nowy Staw
Page 1 of 3
Swinoujscie
(Away) 09 Oct
Elana Torun
1 : 0 Swinoujscie
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0 Swinoujscie
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2 Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0 Swinoujscie
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
Page 1 of 7
09 Oct
Elana Torun
1 : 0 Swinoujscie
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0 Swinoujscie
19 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0 Swinoujscie
05 Sept
Lipno Steszew
1 : 3 Swinoujscie
22 Aug
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 1 Swinoujscie
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 35:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 34:13 | 28 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 4 | Blekitni Stargard | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 27:19 | 18 |
| 5 | Wda Swiecie | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 6 | KKS Kalisz | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:15 | 17 |
| 7 | Notec Czarnkow | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 16 |
| 8 | Lech Poznan II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Baltyk Koszalin | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:15 | 15 |
| 10 | Swinoujscie | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 11 | Unia Swarzedz | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 20:19 | 13 |
| 12 | Grom Nowy Staw | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 28:29 | 13 |
| 13 | Elana Torun | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 14 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 15 | Gedania Gdansk | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 23:24 | 11 |
| 16 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Kotwica Kornik | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18:32 | 10 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11:23 | 5 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
