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Notodden vs Eik-Tonsberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Idrettsparken Notodden, Notodden
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Sub
Bertelsen N. In: Foss-Erstad T.
Out: Bertelsen N.
21'
Schmidt Godo W.
24' Event
Galta J.

AI Match Summary

Eik-Tonsberg in this Division 2 - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eik-Tonsberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Notodden
15%
Draws
51%
Eik-Tonsberg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eik-Tonsberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Notodden lately — more wins on the board than Eik-Tonsberg.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Notodden Clean Sheet 20%
Eik-Tonsberg Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notodden Eik-Tonsberg
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 5
Draws 5 2
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1.64 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.96 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Notodden vs Eik-Tonsberg
1:3
Apr 6, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Eik-Tonsberg vs Notodden
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Notodden vs Eik-Tonsberg
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Eik-Tonsberg vs Notodden
1:1
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Eik-Tonsberg vs Notodden
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Notodden Compare

Top Goalscorer Galta J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Eik-Tonsberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Solli M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stokke B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notodden 31 / 100
Eik-Tonsberg 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notodden Eik-Tonsberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Notodden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Eik-Tonsberg conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Notodden found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Eik-Tonsberg has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Notodden VS Eik-Tonsberg
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Notodden

(Home)
03 Oct
Notodden
1 : 3
Eik-Tonsberg
26 Sept
Jerv
1 : 0
Notodden
20 Sept
Notodden
4 : 1
Arendal
16 Sept
Notodden
2 : 3
Odds BK
13 Sept
Traeff
1 : 1
Notodden
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Eik-Tonsberg

(Away)
03 Oct
Notodden
1 : 3
Eik-Tonsberg
27 Sept
Eik-Tonsberg
0 : 2
Bjarg
19 Sept
Brattvag
3 : 1
Eik-Tonsberg
12 Sept
Eik-Tonsberg
2 : 0
Pors
05 Sept
Sandviken
2 : 0
Eik-Tonsberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jerv 22 16 4 2 47:21 52
2 Brattvag 22 14 3 5 47:28 45
3 Bjarg 22 14 2 6 47:28 44
4 Mjondalen 22 14 2 6 43:28 44
5 Sotra 22 12 3 7 47:25 39
6 Notodden 22 10 5 7 31:20 35
7 Kvik Halden 22 10 4 8 34:27 34
8 Traeff 22 8 6 8 36:44 30
9 Pors 22 7 5 10 28:31 26
10 Arendal 22 7 5 10 30:38 26
11 Sandviken 22 7 4 11 33:45 25
12 Lysekloster 22 3 6 13 26:48 15
13 Eik-Tonsberg 22 3 1 18 24:50 10
14 Vidar 22 2 4 16 20:60 10
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