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Notodden vs Jerv

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Notodden and Jerv finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Notodden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Notodden
20%
Draws
45%
Jerv
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jerv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Notodden have managed 1.81 goals a game lately — Jerv are scoring more at 2.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Notodden taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Notodden Clean Sheet 18%
Jerv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notodden Jerv
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 16 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.81 2
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Notodden vs Jerv
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Notodden vs Jerv
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Jerv vs Notodden
2:2
May 25, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Notodden vs Jerv
2:3
Oct 19, 2024 Division 2 - Group 1
Jerv vs Notodden
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notodden 36 / 100
Jerv 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notodden Jerv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Notodden scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Jerv conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Notodden remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Notodden VS Jerv
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Notodden

(Home)
06 Sept
Notodden
3 : 0
Lysekloster
30 Aug
Kvik Halden
0 : 0
Notodden
22 Aug
Assiden
0 : 4
Notodden
15 Aug
Notodden
0 : 3
Brattvag
08 Aug
Notodden
1 : 0
Sandviken
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Jerv

(Away)
05 Sept
Mjondalen
0 : 3
Jerv
30 Aug
Jerv
1 : 0
Pors
22 Aug
Fram
1 : 2
Jerv
16 Aug
Sandviken
2 : 2
Jerv
08 Aug
Jerv
4 : 0
Vidar
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