Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Notodden vs Jerv

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Idrettsparken Notodden, Notodden
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Sub
Alanko S. In: Wenaas V.
Out: Alanko S.
40'
Jorgensen S.
45'
Naustdal B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Notodden
20%
Draws
40%
Jerv
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Jerv have won more games recently than Notodden.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Notodden Clean Sheet 16%
Jerv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notodden Jerv
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.71 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Notodden vs Jerv
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Notodden vs Jerv
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Jerv vs Notodden
2:2
May 25, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Notodden vs Jerv
2:3
Oct 19, 2024 Division 2 - Group 1
Jerv vs Notodden
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notodden 31 / 100
Jerv 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notodden Jerv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Notodden scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Jerv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Notodden remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Notodden VS Jerv
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Notodden

(Home)
30 Aug
Kvik Halden
0 : 0
Notodden
22 Aug
Assiden
0 : 4
Notodden
15 Aug
Notodden
0 : 3
Brattvag
08 Aug
Notodden
1 : 0
Sandviken
01 Aug
Mjondalen
0 : 1
Notodden
Page 1 of 6

Jerv

(Away)
30 Aug
Jerv
1 : 0
Pors
22 Aug
Fram
1 : 2
Jerv
16 Aug
Sandviken
2 : 2
Jerv
08 Aug
Jerv
4 : 0
Vidar
02 Aug
Traeff
3 : 2
Jerv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jerv 17 12 3 2 35:17 39
2 Brattvag 17 10 3 4 36:20 33
3 Mjondalen 17 10 2 5 30:21 32
4 Kvik Halden 17 9 4 4 28:19 31
5 Sotra 17 9 3 5 35:17 30
6 Bjarg 17 9 2 6 28:24 29
7 Notodden 17 8 4 5 22:14 28
8 Traeff 17 7 5 5 31:27 26
9 Arendal 17 6 5 6 25:26 23
10 Pors 17 5 5 7 18:22 20
11 Sandviken 17 4 4 9 27:39 16
12 Lysekloster 17 3 5 9 19:34 14
13 Vidar 17 1 4 12 16:46 7
14 Eik-Tonsberg 17 1 1 15 18:42 4
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)