Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nottingham vs Leeds

England England

Premier League City Ground, Nottingham
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nottingham host Leeds in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. Nottingham have averaged 1.88 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Leeds's 0.88 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Leeds slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 6, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.06) point toward Nottingham. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nottingham
6%
Draws
4%
Leeds
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nottingham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nottingham have won more games recently than Leeds.
  • Model gives Nottingham a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Nottingham Clean Sheet 68%
Leeds Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nottingham Leeds
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 10
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Premier League
Leeds vs Nottingham
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Premier League
Nottingham vs Leeds
3:1
Jul 27, 2023 Club Friendly
Nottingham vs Leeds
0:2
Apr 4, 2023 Premier League
Leeds vs Nottingham
2:1
Feb 5, 2023 Premier League
Nottingham vs Leeds
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nottingham 95 / 100
Leeds 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nottingham Leeds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nottingham's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Leeds has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Nottingham stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nottingham VS Leeds
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nottingham

(Home)
26 Jul
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 1
Nottingham
22 Jul
Nottingham
3 : 0
Blackburn
18 Jul
Notts County
0 : 2
Nottingham
24 May
Nottingham
1 : 1
Bournemouth
17 May
Manchester United
3 : 2
Nottingham
Page 1 of 6

Leeds

(Away)
25 Jul
Wrexham
3 : 2
Leeds
24 May
West Ham
3 : 0
Leeds
17 May
Leeds
1 : 0
Brighton
11 May
Tottenham
1 : 1
Leeds
01 May
Leeds
3 : 1
Burnley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal00000:00
2Aston Villa00000:00
3Chelsea00000:00
4Everton00000:00
5Fulham00000:00
6Liverpool00000:00
7Manchester City00000:00
8Manchester United00000:00
9Newcastle Utd00000:00
10Sunderland00000:00
11Tottenham00000:00
12Coventry00000:00
13Crystal Palace00000:00
14Hull City00000:00
15Ipswich00000:00
16Bournemouth00000:00
17Brighton00000:00
18Leeds00000:00
19Nottingham00000:00
20Brentford00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)