Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Smith F.
Assist: Thompson K.
22'
22'
Morris J.
39'
39'
Thompson K.
Assist: Blake Z.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League U18 2025/2026 game between Nottingham U18 and Leeds U18 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nottingham U18.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nottingham U18
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Nottingham U18 carry the better recent record into this one.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Nottingham U18 taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
- History favors Nottingham U18 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Nottingham U18 Clean Sheet 12%
Leeds U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nottingham U18 | Leeds U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 2.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.31 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Premier League U18
Leeds U18 vs Nottingham U18
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 Premier League U18
Nottingham U18 vs Leeds U18
2:1
Feb 22, 2025 Premier League U18
Leeds U18 vs Nottingham U18
3:2
Sep 28, 2024 Premier League U18
Nottingham U18 vs Leeds U18
4:1
Jan 13, 2024 Premier League U18
Leeds U18 vs Nottingham U18
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nottingham U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Smith F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Thompson K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.66
Leeds U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Morris J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nottingham U18 83 / 100
Leeds U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nottingham U18 Leeds U18
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nottingham U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nottingham U18's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Leeds U18 conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Nottingham U18 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Nottingham U18 VS Leeds U18
3.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Nottingham U18
(Home) 19 Sept
Burnley U18
2 : 2 Nottingham U18
12 Sept
Nottingham U18
0 : 1 Middlesbrough U18
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2 Nottingham U18
29 Aug
Nottingham U18
3 : 1 Stoke City U18
22 Aug
Blackburn U18
0 : 8 Nottingham U18
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Nottingham U18
0 : 1 Middlesbrough U18
29 Aug
Nottingham U18
3 : 1 Stoke City U18
09 May
Nottingham U18
2 : 1 Blackburn U18
18 Apr
Nottingham U18
0 : 4 Manchester City U18
11 Apr
Nottingham U18
3 : 4 Liverpool U18
Page 1 of 3
Leeds U18
(Away) 12 Sept
Leeds U18
3 : 1 Leicester U18
05 Sept
Leeds U18
1 : 3 Burnley U18
29 Aug
Manchester City U18
5 : 1 Leeds U18
22 Aug
Leeds U18
2 : 1 Wolves U18
15 Aug
Everton U18
6 : 1 Leeds U18
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Manchester City U18
5 : 1 Leeds U18
15 Aug
Everton U18
6 : 1 Leeds U18
09 May
Burnley U18
7 : 4 Leeds U18
05 May
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 2 Leeds U18
18 Apr
Sunderland U18
5 : 1 Leeds U18
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U18 | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 96:39 | 60 |
| 2 | Manchester United U18 | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 65:24 | 56 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U18 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 55:44 | 49 |
| 4 | Everton U18 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 54:45 | 42 |
| 5 | Nottingham U18 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 50:47 | 42 |
| 6 | Sunderland U18 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 56:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough U18 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 45:45 | 39 |
| 8 | Liverpool U18 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 70:70 | 35 |
| 9 | Blackburn U18 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 51:68 | 33 |
| 10 | Derby U18 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 44:67 | 32 |
| 11 | Burnley U18 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 49:68 | 30 |
| 12 | Leeds U18 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 47:68 | 29 |
| 13 | Wolves U18 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 29:55 | 20 |
| 14 | Stoke City U18 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 42:69 | 17 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U18 | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 88:24 | 67 |
| 2 | Tottenham U18 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 70:36 | 54 |
| 3 | Aston Villa U18 | 28 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 82:55 | 54 |
| 4 | Brighton U18 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 63:41 | 49 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace U18 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 74:52 | 46 |
| 6 | West Brom U18 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 68:50 | 46 |
| 7 | Southampton U18 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 65:61 | 42 |
| 8 | West Ham U18 | 28 | 13 | 2 | 13 | 62:59 | 41 |
| 9 | Leicester U18 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 46:53 | 36 |
| 10 | Arsenal U18 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 46:57 | 33 |
| 11 | Fulham U18 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 48:65 | 33 |
| 12 | Norwich U18 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 47:67 | 26 |
| 13 | Reading U18 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 38:66 | 26 |
| 14 | Birmingham U18 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 29:88 | 21 |
| 15 | Ipswich U18 | 28 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 41:93 | 20 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
