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Nottingham U18 vs Manchester City U18 Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Premier League U18 2025/2026
Nottingham U18 Logo

Nottingham U18

0 - 4
FT
Manchester City U18 Logo

Manchester City U18

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Midwood K.
Assist: Gorman F.
12' Event
Dunbar-McDonald C.
Assist: Courtman C.
48' Event
Lamb T.
Assist: Courtman C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League U18 2025/2026 game between Nottingham U18 and Manchester City U18 finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manchester City U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Nottingham U18
15%
Draws
51%
Manchester City U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manchester City U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Manchester City U18 come out ahead of Nottingham U18 on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Manchester City U18 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Manchester City U18 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Nottingham U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Manchester City U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nottingham U18 Manchester City U18
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 23
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 2.1 3.6
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Premier League U18
Nottingham U18 vs Manchester City U18
0:4
Nov 29, 2025 Premier League U18
Manchester City U18 vs Nottingham U18
6:0
Feb 15, 2025 Premier League U18
Nottingham U18 vs Manchester City U18
0:4
Sep 14, 2024 Premier League U18
Manchester City U18 vs Nottingham U18
6:0
Apr 13, 2024 Premier League U18
Nottingham U18 vs Manchester City U18
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nottingham U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Manchester City U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Midwood K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dunbar-McDonald C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nottingham U18 22 / 100
Manchester City U18 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nottingham U18 Manchester City U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manchester City U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nottingham U18 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Manchester City U18's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Nottingham U18 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nottingham U18 VS Manchester City U18
2.38 Goals Scored 3.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Nottingham U18

(Home)
19 Sept
Burnley U18
2 : 2
Nottingham U18
12 Sept
Nottingham U18
0 : 1
Middlesbrough U18
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2
Nottingham U18
29 Aug
Nottingham U18
3 : 1
Stoke City U18
22 Aug
Blackburn U18
0 : 8
Nottingham U18
Page 1 of 6

Manchester City U18

(Away)
19 Sept
Everton U18
0 : 6
Manchester City U18
12 Sept
Manchester City U18
4 : 1
Sunderland U18
05 Sept
Stoke City U18
5 : 8
Manchester City U18
29 Aug
Manchester City U18
5 : 1
Leeds U18
22 Aug
Manchester United U18
0 : 1
Manchester City U18
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U18 26 19 3 4 96:39 60
2 Manchester United U18 26 18 2 6 65:24 56
3 Newcastle Utd U18 26 16 1 9 55:44 49
4 Everton U18 26 13 3 10 54:45 42
5 Nottingham U18 26 13 3 10 50:47 42
6 Sunderland U18 26 11 6 9 56:44 39
7 Middlesbrough U18 26 12 3 11 45:45 39
8 Liverpool U18 26 11 2 13 70:70 35
9 Blackburn U18 26 9 6 11 51:68 33
10 Derby U18 26 10 2 14 44:67 32
11 Burnley U18 26 9 3 14 49:68 30
12 Leeds U18 26 8 5 13 47:68 29
13 Wolves U18 26 5 5 16 29:55 20
14 Stoke City U18 26 5 2 19 42:69 17
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U18 28 21 4 3 88:24 67
2 Tottenham U18 28 16 6 6 70:36 54
3 Aston Villa U18 28 17 3 8 82:55 54
4 Brighton U18 28 14 7 7 63:41 49
5 Crystal Palace U18 28 14 4 10 74:52 46
6 West Brom U18 28 14 4 10 68:50 46
7 Southampton U18 28 13 3 12 65:61 42
8 West Ham U18 28 13 2 13 62:59 41
9 Leicester U18 28 10 6 12 46:53 36
10 Arsenal U18 28 9 6 13 46:57 33
11 Fulham U18 28 9 6 13 48:65 33
12 Norwich U18 28 6 8 14 47:67 26
13 Reading U18 28 6 8 14 38:66 26
14 Birmingham U18 28 6 3 19 29:88 21
15 Ipswich U18 28 6 2 20 41:93 20
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)