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Nottingham U18 vs Middlesbrough U18

England England

Premier League U18
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Tohill E.
Assist: Haselhurst W.

AI Match Summary

Middlesbrough U18 in this Premier League U18 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Middlesbrough U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Nottingham U18
20%
Draws
9%
Middlesbrough U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nottingham U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nottingham U18 lately — more wins on the board than Middlesbrough U18.
  • 71% — that's where the model lands on Nottingham U18 taking it.
  • Regular Premier League U18 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • Middlesbrough U18 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Nottingham U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Middlesbrough U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nottingham U18 Middlesbrough U18
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.18 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Premier League U18
Nottingham U18 vs Middlesbrough U18
0:1
Jan 17, 2026 Premier League U18
Nottingham U18 vs Middlesbrough U18
2:0
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League U18
Middlesbrough U18 vs Nottingham U18
2:1
Apr 5, 2025 Premier League U18
Middlesbrough U18 vs Nottingham U18
4:3
Nov 2, 2024 Premier League U18
Nottingham U18 vs Middlesbrough U18
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nottingham U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

Middlesbrough U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tohill E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nottingham U18 83 / 100
Middlesbrough U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nottingham U18 Middlesbrough U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nottingham U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nottingham U18 found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Nottingham U18 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Middlesbrough U18 has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nottingham U18 VS Middlesbrough U18
3.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Nottingham U18

(Home)
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2
Nottingham U18
29 Aug
Nottingham U18
3 : 1
Stoke City U18
22 Aug
Blackburn U18
0 : 8
Nottingham U18
09 May
Nottingham U18
2 : 1
Blackburn U18
02 May
Leeds U18
1 : 2
Nottingham U18
Page 1 of 6

Middlesbrough U18

(Away)
05 Sept
Manchester United U18
5 : 0
Middlesbrough U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3
Derby U18
22 Aug
Liverpool U18
2 : 2
Middlesbrough U18
15 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
2 : 2
Leicester U18
09 May
Middlesbrough U18
0 : 4
Newcastle Utd U18
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newcastle Utd U18 4 4 0 0 16:5 12
2 Manchester City U18 4 4 0 0 16:7 12
3 Nottingham U18 3 3 0 0 13:1 9
4 Liverpool U18 4 2 1 1 11:8 7
5 Burnley U18 5 2 1 2 11:9 7
6 Manchester United U18 3 2 0 1 8:1 6
7 Derby U18 5 2 0 3 7:10 6
8 Blackburn U18 4 2 0 2 5:15 6
9 Everton U18 3 1 0 2 7:6 3
10 Stoke City U18 5 1 0 4 9:16 3
11 Leeds U18 4 1 0 3 5:15 3
12 Middlesbrough U18 4 0 2 2 5:12 2
13 Sunderland U18 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
14 Leicester U18 2 0 1 1 3:6 1
15 Wolves U18 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham U18 5 4 1 0 26:8 13
2 Southampton U18 5 4 0 1 19:9 12
3 Fulham U18 5 3 2 0 20:12 11
4 Chelsea U18 5 3 0 2 20:10 9
5 Ipswich U18 5 3 0 2 15:12 9
6 Aston Villa U18 5 2 2 1 13:9 8
7 West Ham U18 4 2 1 1 13:11 7
8 Arsenal U18 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
9 West Brom U18 5 2 1 2 4:7 7
10 Brighton U18 5 2 1 2 11:15 7
11 Brentford U18 5 2 0 3 12:15 6
12 Bournemouth U18 5 1 2 2 14:17 5
13 Crystal Palace U18 5 1 0 4 6:12 3
14 Norwich U18 4 1 0 3 8:17 3
15 Reading U18 4 0 1 3 5:18 1
16 Birmingham U18 4 0 0 4 4:18 0
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)