Sport Picks
Match Events
39'
39'
Balagizi B.
Assist: Robinson R.
59'
59'
Kelly I.
64'
64'
Bardsley R.
Assist: Vasiliou R.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League U18 game between Nottingham U18 and Stoke City U18 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nottingham U18.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
20%
7%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nottingham U18
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Nottingham U18 come out ahead of Stoke City U18 on wins alone.
- 73% — that's where the model lands on Nottingham U18 taking it.
- Regular Premier League U18 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Nottingham U18 Clean Sheet 12%
Stoke City U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nottingham U18 | Stoke City U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 2.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.94 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Premier League U18
Nottingham U18 vs Stoke City U18
3:1
Feb 7, 2026 Premier League U18
Nottingham U18 vs Stoke City U18
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 Premier League U18
Stoke City U18 vs Nottingham U18
0:2
Feb 1, 2025 Premier League U18
Nottingham U18 vs Stoke City U18
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 Premier League U18
Stoke City U18 vs Nottingham U18
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nottingham U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Balagizi B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Nolan S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47
Stoke City U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Bardsley R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nottingham U18 83 / 100
Stoke City U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nottingham U18 Stoke City U18
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nottingham U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nottingham U18 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
Stoke City U18's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Nottingham U18 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Nottingham U18 VS Stoke City U18
3.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Nottingham U18
(Home) 19 Sept
Burnley U18
2 : 2 Nottingham U18
12 Sept
Nottingham U18
0 : 1 Middlesbrough U18
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2 Nottingham U18
29 Aug
Nottingham U18
3 : 1 Stoke City U18
22 Aug
Blackburn U18
0 : 8 Nottingham U18
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Nottingham U18
0 : 1 Middlesbrough U18
29 Aug
Nottingham U18
3 : 1 Stoke City U18
09 May
Nottingham U18
2 : 1 Blackburn U18
18 Apr
Nottingham U18
0 : 4 Manchester City U18
11 Apr
Nottingham U18
3 : 4 Liverpool U18
Page 1 of 3
Stoke City U18
(Away) 19 Sept
Leicester U18
2 : 2 Stoke City U18
12 Sept
Stoke City U18
0 : 2 Derby U18
05 Sept
Stoke City U18
5 : 8 Manchester City U18
29 Aug
Nottingham U18
3 : 1 Stoke City U18
22 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 2 Stoke City U18
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Leicester U18
2 : 2 Stoke City U18
29 Aug
Nottingham U18
3 : 1 Stoke City U18
22 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 2 Stoke City U18
15 Aug
Burnley U18
0 : 1 Stoke City U18
09 May
Manchester United U18
3 : 1 Stoke City U18
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U18 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 26:8 | 18 |
| 2 | Newcastle Utd U18 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 19:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Manchester United U18 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16:1 | 12 |
| 4 | Nottingham U18 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:4 | 10 |
| 5 | Liverpool U18 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14:11 | 8 |
| 6 | Burnley U18 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 8 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough U18 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:12 | 8 |
| 8 | Derby U18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:13 | 7 |
| 9 | Everton U18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:12 | 6 |
| 10 | Leeds U18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 11 | Blackburn U18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:20 | 6 |
| 12 | Stoke City U18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11:18 | 4 |
| 13 | Leicester U18 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:11 | 2 |
| 14 | Sunderland U18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:9 | 1 |
| 15 | Wolves U18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:18 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham U18 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 33:9 | 16 |
| 2 | Chelsea U18 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 25:10 | 12 |
| 3 | Southampton U18 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21:12 | 12 |
| 4 | Fulham U18 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 23:15 | 12 |
| 5 | Arsenal U18 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 6 | West Ham U18 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16:15 | 10 |
| 7 | Brighton U18 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 8 | Ipswich U18 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15:15 | 9 |
| 9 | Brentford U18 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15:15 | 9 |
| 10 | Aston Villa U18 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 8 |
| 11 | West Brom U18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:14 | 7 |
| 12 | Norwich U18 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13:22 | 6 |
| 13 | Bournemouth U18 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14:22 | 5 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace U18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | 4 |
| 15 | Reading U18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:22 | 4 |
| 16 | Birmingham U18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)
