Sport Picks
Nottingham U21 vs Aston Villa U21
England
Premier League 2 2025/2026 Loughborough University Stadium, Leicestershire 
Match Events
8'
8'
Abbott Z.
Own Goal
18'
18'
Jimoh-Aloba J.
28'
28'
Whitehall A.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2 2025/2026 game between Nottingham U21 and Aston Villa U21 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aston Villa U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nottingham U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Aston Villa U21 haven't matched Nottingham U21's recent run of results.
- Nottingham U21 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Premier League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Nottingham U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Aston Villa U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nottingham U21 | Aston Villa U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2025 Premier League 2
Nottingham U21 vs Aston Villa U21
2:3
Apr 19, 2024 Premier League 2
Nottingham U21 vs Aston Villa U21
3:0
Apr 21, 2023 Premier League 2
Nottingham U21 vs Aston Villa U21
4:3
Oct 21, 2022 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U21 vs Nottingham U21
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nottingham U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Hanks J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Berry A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Aston Villa U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Broggio B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cotcher M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nottingham U21 49 / 100
Aston Villa U21 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nottingham U21 Aston Villa U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nottingham U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aston Villa U21 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 4.25 goals.
Nottingham U21 scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Recent resilience: Nottingham U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Nottingham U21 VS Aston Villa U21
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Nottingham U21
(Home) 14 Aug
Nottingham U21
2 : 0 Luton U21
11 May
Nottingham U21
1 : 2 Norwich U21
04 May
Peterborough U21
0 : 1 Nottingham U21
27 Apr
Nottingham U21
3 : 2 Charlton U21
03 Apr
Nottingham U21
2 : 0 Crystal Palace U21
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Nottingham U21
2 : 0 Luton U21
11 May
Nottingham U21
1 : 2 Norwich U21
27 Apr
Nottingham U21
3 : 2 Charlton U21
03 Apr
Nottingham U21
2 : 0 Crystal Palace U21
20 Mar
Nottingham U21
3 : 0 Newcastle Utd U21
Page 1 of 4
Aston Villa U21
(Away) 01 Aug
Shrewsbury
3 : 2 Aston Villa U21
21 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 2 Aston Villa U21
01 May
Aston Villa U21
2 : 3 Manchester City U21
24 Apr
Southampton U21
3 : 4 Aston Villa U21
17 Apr
Stoke City U21
0 : 1 Aston Villa U21
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Shrewsbury
3 : 2 Aston Villa U21
21 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 2 Aston Villa U21
24 Apr
Southampton U21
3 : 4 Aston Villa U21
17 Apr
Stoke City U21
0 : 1 Aston Villa U21
06 Apr
Blackburn U21
1 : 2 Aston Villa U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U21 | 20 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 52:25 | 43 |
| 2 | Manchester United U21 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 43:26 | 43 |
| 3 | Manchester City U21 | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 59:21 | 40 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 48:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Ipswich U21 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 45:45 | 38 |
| 6 | Southampton U21 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 36:29 | 36 |
| 7 | Liverpool U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 49:36 | 35 |
| 8 | Tottenham U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 42:32 | 35 |
| 9 | Leicester U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 48:42 | 31 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 36:31 | 31 |
| 11 | Aston Villa U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 32:35 | 31 |
| 12 | Brighton U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 38:25 | 30 |
| 13 | West Ham U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 44:35 | 30 |
| 14 | Arsenal U21 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:33 | 29 |
| 15 | Sunderland U21 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 41:40 | 28 |
| 16 | Middlesbrough U21 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 37:28 | 27 |
| 17 | Nottingham U21 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 23:23 | 26 |
| 18 | Everton U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:36 | 25 |
| 19 | Reading U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:36 | 25 |
| 20 | Stoke City U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:42 | 25 |
| 21 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 30:35 | 24 |
| 22 | Wolves U21 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 30:45 | 23 |
| 23 | Norwich U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 32:42 | 20 |
| 24 | Derby U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26:44 | 20 |
| 25 | Leeds U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 28:40 | 18 |
| 26 | West Brom U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 26:41 | 18 |
| 27 | Birmingham U21 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 26:52 | 17 |
| 28 | Blackburn U21 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 27:46 | 14 |
| 29 | Burnley U21 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 22:42 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Professional Development League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
