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Nottingham U21 vs Nice II

Europe Europe

Premier League International Cup 2023/2024
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Match Events

86' Event
Hammond B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Nottingham U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Nottingham U21
15%
Draws
0%
Nice II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nottingham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Nottingham U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Nottingham U21 taking it.
  • Nottingham U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nottingham U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Nottingham U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Nice II Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nottingham U21 Nice II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 3
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 23
Goals Scored 1.33 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2023 Premier League International Cup
Nottingham U21 vs Nice II
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nottingham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hammond B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Nice II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nottingham U21 84 / 100
Nice II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nottingham U21 Nice II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nottingham U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nottingham U21 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Nice II conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Nice II has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Solid form: Nottingham U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nottingham U21 VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nottingham U21

(Home)
08 Sept
Scunthorpe
2 : 1
Nottingham U21
28 Aug
Nottingham U21
2 : 1
Manchester City U21
24 Aug
Sunderland U21
5 : 1
Nottingham U21
18 Aug
Gateshead
1 : 2
Nottingham U21
14 Aug
Nottingham U21
2 : 0
Luton U21
Page 1 of 6

Nice II

(Away)
27 Jul
FC Liefering
4 : 3
Nice II
13 Jan
Cercle Brugge
3 : 0
Nice II
29 Nov
Wolves U21
4 : 2
Nice II
25 Oct
Nottingham U21
1 : 0
Nice II
11 Oct
Blackburn U21
2 : 1
Nice II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wolves U21 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
2 Jong PSV 4 3 0 1 16:6 9
3 Hertha Berlin II 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
4 Blackburn U21 4 2 0 2 9:9 6
5 Nottingham U21 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
6 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 6:11 6
7 Sparta Prague U21 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
8 Nice II 4 0 0 4 3:9 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton U21 4 4 0 0 11:7 12
2 West Ham U21 4 3 1 0 10:1 10
3 Chelsea U21 4 2 1 1 9:6 7
4 Lyon II 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
5 Valencia B 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
6 Celtic U23 4 1 0 3 7:13 3
7 Southampton U21 4 0 1 3 6:11 1
8 Dinamo Zagreb 2 4 0 1 3 4:11 1
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U21 4 4 0 0 10:4 12
2 Everton U21 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
3 Crystal Palace U21 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
4 Ath Bilbao B 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
5 Liverpool U21 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
6 Monaco II 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
7 Jong Feyenoord 4 0 2 2 3:7 2
8 Benfica B 4 0 1 3 4:8 1
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams