Sport Picks
Nottingham vs Bournemouth
England
Premier League 2025/2026 City Ground, Nottingham 
Match Events
33'
33'
Hill J.
34'
34'
Gibbs-White M.
Assist: Hutchinson O.
54'
54'
Tavernier M.
Assist: Truffert A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bournemouth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Nottingham have won more games recently than Bournemouth.
- Bournemouth are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Nottingham Clean Sheet 10%
Bournemouth Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nottingham | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 14 |
| Losses | 9 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 Premier League
Nottingham vs Bournemouth
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Nottingham
2:0
Jan 25, 2025 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Nottingham
5:0
Aug 17, 2024 Premier League
Nottingham vs Bournemouth
1:1
Feb 4, 2024 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Nottingham
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nottingham Compare
Top Goalscorer Gibbs-White M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Bournemouth Compare
Top Goalscorer Tavernier M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nottingham 18 / 100
Bournemouth 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nottingham Bournemouth
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bournemouth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Nottingham scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.
Defensive concern: Bournemouth conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Nottingham stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Nottingham VS Bournemouth
0.75 Goals Scored 2.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Nottingham
(Home) 19 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 1 Coventry
12 Sept
Aston Villa
1 : 2 Nottingham
05 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 0 Tottenham
29 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 2 Nottingham
25 Aug
Nottingham
0 : 2 Leeds
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 1 Coventry
05 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 0 Tottenham
25 Aug
Nottingham
0 : 2 Leeds
22 Aug
Nottingham
0 : 1 Leeds
16 Aug
Nottingham
2 : 0 Brest
Page 1 of 3
Bournemouth
(Away) 20 Sept
Bournemouth
0 : 1 Liverpool
17 Sept
Real Sociedad
1 : 2 Bournemouth
12 Sept
Bournemouth
2 : 2 Brentford
08 Sept
Bournemouth
4 : 0 Lincoln City
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Bournemouth
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Real Sociedad
1 : 2 Bournemouth
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Bournemouth
23 Aug
Manchester City
2 : 1 Bournemouth
15 Aug
Mainz
2 : 1 Bournemouth
08 Aug
Betis
2 : 2 Bournemouth
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | 20 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)
