Sport Picks
Nottingham vs Coventry - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Premier League City Ground, Nottingham 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Mason-Clark E. In: Tchaouna L.
Out: Mason-Clark E.
55'
55'
Dasilva J.
Assist: Rushworth C.
59'
59'
Delap L.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Nottingham and Coventry finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coventry.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
15%
76%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coventry
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Coventry come out ahead of Nottingham on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Coventry's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Nottingham Clean Sheet 17%
Coventry Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nottingham | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 17 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Premier League
Nottingham vs Coventry
0:1
Jul 8, 2022 Club Friendly
Nottingham vs Coventry
1:3
Apr 6, 2022 Championship
Nottingham vs Coventry
2:0
Aug 8, 2021 Championship
Coventry vs Nottingham
2:1
Feb 2, 2021 Championship
Coventry vs Nottingham
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nottingham Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Coventry Compare
Top Goalscorer Dasilva J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nottingham 12 / 100
Coventry 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nottingham Coventry
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Coventry Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nottingham scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Coventry let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Nottingham went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Nottingham VS Coventry
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Nottingham
(Home) 31 Oct
Brentford
2 : 0 Nottingham
23 Oct
Ipswich
1 : 1 Nottingham
18 Oct
Nottingham
0 : 1 Arsenal
11 Oct
Crystal Palace
3 : 1 Nottingham
19 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 1 Coventry
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Nottingham
0 : 1 Arsenal
19 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 1 Coventry
05 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 0 Tottenham
25 Aug
Nottingham
0 : 2 Leeds
22 Aug
Nottingham
0 : 1 Leeds
Page 1 of 3
Coventry
(Away) 31 Oct
Coventry
3 : 1 Sunderland
24 Oct
Coventry
0 : 1 Fulham
19 Oct
Tottenham
3 : 1 Coventry
12 Oct
Coventry
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
19 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 1 Coventry
Page 1 of 6
19 Oct
Tottenham
3 : 1 Coventry
19 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 1 Coventry
05 Sept
Manchester City
1 : 0 Coventry
25 Aug
Plymouth
2 : 4 Coventry
21 Aug
Arsenal
3 : 0 Coventry
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 | Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Everton | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 | Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 | Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Newcastle Utd | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 | Coventry | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 | Nottingham | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
