Sport Picks
Nottingham vs Midtjylland
Europe
Europa League 2025/2026 City Ground, Nottingham 
Match Events
9'
9'
Sub
Cunha In: Milenkovic N.
Out: Cunha
33'
33'
Morato
46'
46'
Sub
Castillo D. In: Byskov V.
Out: Castillo D.
AI Match Summary
Midtjylland in this Europa League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Midtjylland
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Nottingham haven't matched Midtjylland's recent run of results.
- Midtjylland are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Midtjylland arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Midtjylland, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Midtjylland here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Nottingham Clean Sheet 16%
Midtjylland Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nottingham | Midtjylland |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 19 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 2.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 19, 2026 Europa League
Midtjylland vs Nottingham
1:3
Mar 12, 2026 Europa League
Nottingham vs Midtjylland
0:1
Oct 2, 2025 Europa League
Nottingham vs Midtjylland
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nottingham Compare
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Midtjylland Compare
Top Goalscorer Cho Gue-Sung
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nottingham 10 / 100
Midtjylland 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nottingham Midtjylland
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Midtjylland Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Nottingham scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Midtjylland conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.
Solid form: Nottingham remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Nottingham VS Midtjylland
1 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Nottingham
(Home) 12 Sept
Aston Villa
1 : 2 Nottingham
05 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 0 Tottenham
29 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 2 Nottingham
25 Aug
Nottingham
0 : 2 Leeds
22 Aug
Nottingham
0 : 1 Leeds
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 0 Tottenham
25 Aug
Nottingham
0 : 2 Leeds
22 Aug
Nottingham
0 : 1 Leeds
16 Aug
Nottingham
2 : 0 Brest
12 Aug
Nottingham
2 : 1 Bayer Leverkusen
Page 1 of 3
Midtjylland
(Away) 14 Sept
Midtjylland
4 : 1 Brondby
10 Sept
Sundby
0 : 7 Midtjylland
07 Sept
Midtjylland
2 : 2 Nordsjaelland
02 Sept
Aarhus
0 : 2 Midtjylland
30 Aug
Silkeborg
1 : 1 Midtjylland
Page 1 of 7
10 Sept
Sundby
0 : 7 Midtjylland
02 Sept
Aarhus
0 : 2 Midtjylland
30 Aug
Silkeborg
1 : 1 Midtjylland
27 Aug
Rijeka
1 : 4 Midtjylland
16 Aug
Lyngby
1 : 1 Midtjylland
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Ludogorets 2
Ferencvaros 3
Braga -
TBD -
Panathinaikos 4
Plzen 3
Betis -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb 4
Genk 6
Freiburg -
TBD -
PAOK 1
Celta Vigo 3
Lyon -
TBD -
Celtic 2
VfB Stuttgart 4
FC Porto -
TBD -
Fenerbahce 2
Nottingham 4
Midtjylland -
TBD -
Brann 0
Bologna 2
AS Roma -
TBD -
Lille 2
Crvena zvezda 1
Aston Villa -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Ferencvaros 2
Braga 4
Panathinaikos 1
Betis 4
Genk 2
Freiburg 5
Celta Vigo 3
Lyon 1
VfB Stuttgart 1
FC Porto 4
Nottingham 3
Midtjylland 2
Bologna 5
AS Roma 4
Lille 0
Aston Villa 3
Quarter-finals
Braga 5
Betis 3
Freiburg 6
Celta Vigo 1
FC Porto 1
Nottingham 2
Bologna 1
Aston Villa 7
Semi-finals
Braga 3
Freiburg 4
Nottingham 1
Aston Villa 4
Final
Freiburg 0
Aston Villa 3
