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Nottingham W vs Gillingham W

England England

Women’s FA Cup 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nottingham W play Gillingham W in the Women’s FA Cup 2013/2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nottingham W averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Gillingham W averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. In past meetings, Nottingham W won 1, Gillingham W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 16, 2014 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Nottingham W and 1.31 for Gillingham W. This points to a Gillingham W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Nottingham W
15%
Draws
43%
Gillingham W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gillingham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Nottingham W picked up more points recently compared to Gillingham W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Nottingham W Clean Sheet 18%
Gillingham W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nottingham W Gillingham W
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 15 16
Draws 3 0
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.66 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.9

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2014 Women’s FA Cup
Nottingham W vs Gillingham W
0:1
Feb 24, 2013 Women’s FA Cup
Gillingham W vs Nottingham W
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nottingham W 41 / 100
Gillingham W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nottingham W Gillingham W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gillingham W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nottingham W attacking → ← attacking Gillingham W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nottingham W scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Gillingham W let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Nottingham W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Gillingham W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 48
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00