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Nottingham W vs Sunderland W

England England

WSL 2 City Ground
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nottingham W play Sunderland W in the WSL 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nottingham W averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Sunderland W averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Nottingham W won 1, Sunderland W won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 11, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Nottingham W and 1.25 for Sunderland W. This points to a Nottingham W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Nottingham W
16%
Draws
38%
Sunderland W
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Nottingham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Nottingham W picked up more points recently compared to Sunderland W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Nottingham W Clean Sheet 19%
Sunderland W Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nottingham W Sunderland W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.67 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 WSL 2
Sunderland W vs Nottingham W
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 WSL 2
Nottingham W vs Sunderland W
3:1
Nov 1, 2020 Women's National League North
Sunderland W vs Nottingham W
1:0
Sep 29, 2019 Women's National League North
Nottingham W vs Sunderland W
1:3
Mar 10, 2019 Women's National League North
Nottingham W vs Sunderland W
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nottingham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Boye-Hlorkah C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Claypole A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sunderland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Scarr E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nottingham W 45 / 100
Sunderland W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nottingham W Sunderland W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nottingham W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nottingham W attacking → ← attacking Sunderland W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nottingham W scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Sunderland W let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Nottingham W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sunderland W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 36
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Birmingham W22142646:2444
2Crystal Palace W22135444:2644
3Charlton W22126431:2142
4Bristol City W22114747:3137
5Southampton FC W22105744:2635
6Newcastle Utd W2289532:2533
7Nottingham W22931027:3530
8Sunderland W22661028:3524
9Ipswich W22651126:4223
10Durham W22571027:3522
11Sheffield Utd W22461221:4318
12Portsmouth W22421623:5314