Sport Picks
Notts County vs Barnet
England
League Two 2025/2026 Meadow Lane, Nottingham 
Match Events
32'
32'
Tshimanga K.
Assist: Glover R.
36'
36'
Jones J.
(Penalty)
60'
60'
Sub
Dennis M. In: Luker J.
Out: Dennis M.
AI Match Summary
The League Two 2025/2026 game between Notts County and Barnet finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barnet.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
35%
46%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Barnet
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Barnet's 1.68 goals per match outpaces what Notts County have produced (1.5).
- Win probability leans Barnet's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular League Two 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Notts County Clean Sheet 19%
Barnet Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Notts County | Barnet |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 League Two
Notts County vs Barnet
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 League Two
Barnet vs Notts County
0:1
Mar 18, 2023 National League
Barnet vs Notts County
1:1
Feb 14, 2023 National League
Notts County vs Barnet
4:1
Feb 8, 2022 National League
Notts County vs Barnet
6:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Notts County Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Barnet Compare
Top Goalscorer Tshimanga K.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Notts County 24 / 100
Barnet 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Notts County Barnet
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Barnet Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Notts County found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Barnet's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.
Notts County has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Notts County VS Barnet
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Notts County
(Home) 15 Aug
Notts County
1 : 1 Leicester
08 Aug
Burnley
2 : 1 Notts County
01 Aug
Walsall
0 : 0 Notts County
18 Jul
Notts County
0 : 2 Nottingham
14 Jul
Randers FC
3 : 1 Notts County
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Notts County
1 : 1 Leicester
18 Jul
Notts County
0 : 2 Nottingham
25 May
Notts County
3 : 0 Salford
15 May
Notts County
0 : 0 Chesterfield
02 May
Notts County
1 : 1 Bristol Rovers
Page 1 of 3
Barnet
(Away) 15 Aug
Barnet
3 : 1 Salford
08 Aug
Cambridge Utd
2 : 1 Barnet
01 Aug
Barnet
1 : 1 Bromley
28 Jul
Barnet
0 : 0 Milton Keynes Dons
25 Jul
Barnet
1 : 2 Oxford Utd
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Cambridge Utd
2 : 1 Barnet
11 Jul
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 2 Barnet
07 Jul
Hitchin
0 : 1 Barnet
02 May
Harrogate
1 : 2 Barnet
18 Apr
Notts County
1 : 2 Barnet
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | 36 |
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)
