Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Notts County vs Burton

England England

League One Meadow Lane, Nottingham
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Notts County host Burton in the League One. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Notts County at 1.55 goals for, 1.17 against; Burton at 0.96 for, 1.14 against. Head-to-head, Notts County have won 3 to Burton's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 24, 2024, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.13 - 0.69) back Notts County to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Notts County
35%
Draws
46%
Burton
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Burton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Notts County come out ahead of Burton on wins alone.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Notts County here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Notts County Clean Sheet 20%
Burton Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notts County Burton
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 12
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.55 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2024 EFL Trophy
Burton vs Notts County
1:2
Sep 3, 2013 EFL Trophy
Notts County vs Burton
1:0
Dec 28, 2009 League Two
Burton vs Notts County
1:4
Sep 5, 2009 League Two
Notts County vs Burton
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notts County 36 / 100
Burton 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notts County Burton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Notts County found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Burton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Notts County stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Notts County VS Burton
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Notts County

(Home)
15 Aug
Notts County
1 : 1
Leicester
08 Aug
Burnley
2 : 1
Notts County
01 Aug
Walsall
0 : 0
Notts County
18 Jul
Notts County
0 : 2
Nottingham
14 Jul
Randers FC
3 : 1
Notts County
Page 1 of 6

Burton

(Away)
15 Aug
Burton
1 : 1
Stevenage
08 Aug
Burton
1 : 2
Blackburn
01 Aug
Burton
1 : 0
Derby
28 Jul
Solihull Moors
1 : 1
Burton
22 Jul
Burton
0 : 1
Birmingham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bradford City 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Huddersfield 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Stockport County 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Luton 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
5 Cambridge Utd 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
6 Mansfield 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 Bromley 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Sheffield Wed 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
10 Oxford Utd 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
11 Blackpool 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
12 Leicester 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
13 Wycombe 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
14 Notts County 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
15 Burton 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
16 Stevenage 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
17 Reading 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
18 Wigan 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
19 Doncaster 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
20 Leyton Orient 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
21 Barnsley 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
22 Plymouth 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
23 Peterborough 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
24 AFC Wimbledon 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)