Sport Picks
Notts County vs Burton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League One Meadow Lane, Nottingham 
Match Events
22'
22'
Delap F.
Assist: Armer J.
34'
34'
Tilt C.
36'
36'
Finneran R.
AI Match Summary
The League One game between Notts County and Burton finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Notts County.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Burton have managed 1.03 goals a game lately — Notts County are scoring more at 1.19.
- 34% — that's where the model lands on Notts County taking it.
- Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Notts County here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Notts County Clean Sheet 68%
Burton Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Notts County | Burton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 League One
Notts County vs Burton
2:1
Sep 24, 2024 EFL Trophy
Burton vs Notts County
1:2
Sep 3, 2013 EFL Trophy
Notts County vs Burton
1:0
Dec 28, 2009 League Two
Burton vs Notts County
1:4
Sep 5, 2009 League Two
Notts County vs Burton
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Notts County Compare
Top Goalscorer Smyth L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Burton Compare
Top Goalscorer Delap F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Notts County 50 / 100
Burton 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Notts County Burton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Notts County Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Notts County found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).
Burton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Burton's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Notts County VS Burton
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Notts County
(Home) 10 Oct
Notts County
1 : 2 Oxford Utd
22 Sept
Notts County
2 : 1 Grimsby
19 Sept
Reading
2 : 0 Notts County
12 Sept
Notts County
0 : 1 Bradford City
05 Sept
Huddersfield
1 : 1 Notts County
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Notts County
1 : 2 Oxford Utd
22 Sept
Notts County
2 : 1 Grimsby
12 Sept
Notts County
0 : 1 Bradford City
29 Aug
Notts County
2 : 1 Burton
15 Aug
Notts County
1 : 1 Leicester
Page 1 of 3
Burton
(Away) 10 Oct
Doncaster
1 : 0 Burton
06 Oct
Grimsby
0 : 1 Burton
03 Oct
Burton
1 : 3 Huddersfield
26 Sept
Plymouth
0 : 1 Burton
22 Sept
Burton
1 : 2 Nottingham U21
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Doncaster
1 : 0 Burton
06 Oct
Grimsby
0 : 1 Burton
26 Sept
Plymouth
0 : 1 Burton
12 Sept
Oxford Utd
3 : 0 Burton
29 Aug
Notts County
2 : 1 Burton
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | 19 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 17 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:11 | 16 |
| 4 | Huddersfield | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:9 | 16 |
| 5 | Cambridge Utd | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Reading | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 7 | Sheffield Wed | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:8 | 15 |
| 8 | Oxford Utd | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 14 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Burton | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 11 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | 12 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 11 |
| 13 | Luton | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16:15 | 11 |
| 14 | Mansfield | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Wycombe | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:20 | 10 |
| 16 | Doncaster | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 9 |
| 17 | Leicester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:14 | 9 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | 8 |
| 19 | Barnsley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 20 | Peterborough | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | 8 |
| 21 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:20 | 8 |
| 22 | Notts County | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 23 | Milton Keynes Dons | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9:15 | 6 |
| 24 | Wigan | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | 4 |
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
