Sport Picks

Notts County vs Grimsby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

EFL Trophy Meadow Lane, Nottingham

Notts County

2 - 1

Grimsby

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

McDonald R.

32'

Roberts C.

Assist: Palmer M.

34'

Roberts C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Notts County

20%

Draws

33%

Grimsby

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Notts County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence

Grimsby's 1.71 goals per match outpaces what Notts County have produced (1.32).
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Notts County, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Notts County have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Notts County Clean Sheet 20%

Grimsby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Notts County	Grimsby
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	10	10
Draws	8	10
Losses	10	8
Goals Scored	1.32	1.71
Goals Conceded	1.18	1.18
Expected Goals (xG)	1.56	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 EFL Trophy

Notts County vs Grimsby

2:1

Feb 28, 2026 League Two

Notts County vs Grimsby

0:1

Dec 13, 2025 League Two

Grimsby vs Notts County

0:2

Mar 11, 2025 League Two

Grimsby vs Notts County

0:2

Aug 22, 2024 League Two

Notts County vs Grimsby

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Notts County Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberts C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Cooper O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.2

Avg xA / game 0.78

Grimsby Compare

Top Goalscorer Sweeney J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notts County 32 / 100

Grimsby 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Notts County Grimsby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Notts County's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Grimsby's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Notts County has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Notts County VS Grimsby

1.63 Goals Scored 0.88

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Notts County

(Home)

31 Oct

Mansfield

0 : 2

Notts County

24 Oct

Notts County

1 : 1

Stockport County

20 Oct

Notts County

2 : 0

Sheffield Wed

17 Oct

Wycombe

2 : 0

Notts County

13 Oct

Notts County

5 : 1

Nottingham U21

Page 1 of 6

Grimsby

(Away)

31 Oct

Grimsby

5 : 2

York City

24 Oct

Gillingham

1 : 4

Grimsby

20 Oct

Rochdale

2 : 2

Grimsby

17 Oct

Grimsby

0 : 2

Northampton

10 Oct

Port Vale

1 : 0

Grimsby

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