Sport Picks
Notts County vs Oxford Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League One Meadow Lane, Nottingham 
Match Events
7'
7'
McDonald R.
18'
18'
Harris M.
23'
23'
Cooper O.
AI Match Summary
The League One game between Notts County and Oxford Utd finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oxford Utd.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oxford Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Oxford Utd come out ahead of Notts County on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Oxford Utd's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Oxford Utd have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Notts County Clean Sheet 16%
Oxford Utd Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Notts County | Oxford Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 League One
Notts County vs Oxford Utd
1:2
Jan 2, 2016 League Two
Notts County vs Oxford Utd
2:4
Aug 18, 2015 League Two
Oxford Utd vs Notts County
3:1
Mar 18, 2006 League Two
Notts County vs Oxford Utd
0:0
Dec 26, 2005 League Two
Oxford Utd vs Notts County
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Notts County Compare
Top Goalscorer Finneran R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Oxford Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Harris M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Brannagan C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Notts County 28 / 100
Oxford Utd 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Notts County Oxford Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oxford Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Notts County scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Oxford Utd has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Notts County has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Notts County VS Oxford Utd
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Notts County
(Home) 22 Sept
Notts County
2 : 1 Grimsby
19 Sept
Reading
2 : 0 Notts County
12 Sept
Notts County
0 : 1 Bradford City
05 Sept
Huddersfield
1 : 1 Notts County
01 Sept
Doncaster
1 : 1 Notts County
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Notts County
2 : 1 Grimsby
12 Sept
Notts County
0 : 1 Bradford City
29 Aug
Notts County
2 : 1 Burton
15 Aug
Notts County
1 : 1 Leicester
18 Jul
Notts County
0 : 2 Nottingham
Page 1 of 3
Oxford Utd
(Away) 06 Oct
Exeter
3 : 2 Oxford Utd
19 Sept
Oxford Utd
1 : 1 Cambridge Utd
12 Sept
Oxford Utd
3 : 0 Burton
05 Sept
Leicester
0 : 4 Oxford Utd
01 Sept
Huddersfield
3 : 1 Oxford Utd
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Exeter
3 : 2 Oxford Utd
05 Sept
Leicester
0 : 4 Oxford Utd
01 Sept
Huddersfield
3 : 1 Oxford Utd
22 Aug
Stevenage
1 : 2 Oxford Utd
08 Aug
Leyton Orient
2 : 0 Oxford Utd
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16:11 | 16 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 16 |
| 3 | Huddersfield | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 4 | Sheffield Wed | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 14 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:10 | 13 |
| 6 | Cambridge Utd | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 7 | Reading | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Burton | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 9 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Oxford Utd | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 11 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Wycombe | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:16 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:13 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:12 | 4 |
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
