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Notts County vs Sheffield Wed - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League One Meadow Lane, Nottingham
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Notts County host Sheffield Wed in the League One. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Sheffield Wed have shipped 1.36 goals a game lately, while Notts County have conceded 1.29 and scored 1.65. Past meetings favor Sheffield Wed slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 12, 2014, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 0.76 vs 1.56, favoring Sheffield Wed. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Notts County
30%
Draws
42%
Sheffield Wed
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sheffield Wed

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Notts County carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Notts County's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sheffield Wed have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Notts County Clean Sheet 15%
Sheffield Wed Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notts County Sheffield Wed
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.65 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2014 EFL Cup
Sheffield Wed vs Notts County
3:0
Mar 17, 2012 League One
Notts County vs Sheffield Wed
1:2
Aug 20, 2011 League One
Sheffield Wed vs Notts County
2:1
Mar 12, 2011 League One
Sheffield Wed vs Notts County
0:1
Oct 2, 2010 League One
Notts County vs Sheffield Wed
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notts County 41 / 100
Sheffield Wed 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notts County Sheffield Wed

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Notts County scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Sheffield Wed let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Notts County remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Notts County VS Sheffield Wed
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Notts County

(Home)
13 Oct
Notts County
5 : 1
Nottingham U21
10 Oct
Notts County
1 : 2
Oxford Utd
22 Sept
Notts County
2 : 1
Grimsby
19 Sept
Reading
2 : 0
Notts County
12 Sept
Notts County
0 : 1
Bradford City
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Sheffield Wed

(Away)
10 Oct
Huddersfield
2 : 2
Sheffield Wed
06 Oct
Sheffield Wed
2 : 0
Sunderland U21
22 Sept
Salford
1 : 2
Sheffield Wed
19 Sept
Sheffield Wed
0 : 0
Stockport County
12 Sept
Sheffield Wed
0 : 0
Wigan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 10 6 1 3 18:12 19
2 Bradford City 9 5 2 2 8:5 17
3 Stockport County 9 5 1 3 20:11 16
4 Huddersfield 9 4 4 1 16:9 16
5 Cambridge Utd 9 4 4 1 14:11 16
6 Reading 9 4 3 2 22:11 15
7 Oxford Utd 8 4 3 1 16:9 15
8 Sheffield Wed 8 4 3 1 15:8 15
9 Stevenage 8 3 3 2 12:8 12
10 Burton 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
11 Mansfield 9 3 3 3 13:15 12
12 AFC Wimbledon 9 3 3 3 7:10 12
13 Leyton Orient 9 3 2 4 13:11 11
14 Luton 8 3 2 3 16:15 11
15 Wycombe 9 2 4 3 14:20 10
16 Doncaster 8 2 3 3 9:9 9
17 Leicester 8 2 3 3 10:14 9
18 Blackpool 8 2 2 4 13:14 8
19 Barnsley 8 2 2 4 8:15 8
20 Peterborough 9 2 2 5 7:14 8
21 Bromley 8 2 2 4 9:20 8
22 Notts County 8 1 4 3 8:11 7
23 Milton Keynes Dons 8 0 6 2 9:15 6
24 Wigan 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)