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Nouadhibou vs Nouakchott King's Prediction & H2H Stats

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
El Abd I.
65' Event
Cisse M.
88'

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Nouadhibou and Nouakchott King's finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Nouadhibou
20%
Draws
48%
Nouakchott King's
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nouakchott King's

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Nouakchott King's haven't matched Nouadhibou's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Nouadhibou Clean Sheet 68%
Nouakchott King's Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nouadhibou Nouakchott King's
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 10
Draws 10 11
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 1.7 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Ligue 1
Nouakchott King's vs Nouadhibou
3:2
Jan 6, 2026 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Nouakchott King's
1:1
Apr 13, 2025 Ligue 1
Nouakchott King's vs Nouadhibou
1:1
Dec 6, 2024 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Nouakchott King's
1:0
Apr 13, 2024 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Nouakchott King's
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nouadhibou Compare

Top Goalscorer Cisse M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Nouakchott King's Compare

Top Goalscorer El Abd I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nouadhibou 42 / 100
Nouakchott King's 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nouadhibou Nouakchott King's

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nouadhibou scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Nouakchott King's let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Nouadhibou remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nouadhibou VS Nouakchott King's
2.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nouadhibou

(Home)
13 Sept
Nouadhibou
0 : 0
Vipers
05 Sept
Vipers
1 : 1
Nouadhibou
23 May
Nouadhibou
1 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
17 May
Nouakchott King's
3 : 2
Nouadhibou
10 May
Nouadhibou
4 : 1
Police
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Nouakchott King's

(Away)
23 May
Nouakchott King's
2 : 0
Kaedi
17 May
Nouakchott King's
3 : 2
Nouadhibou
12 May
Chemal
3 : 4
Nouakchott King's
07 May
Nouakchott King's
1 : 2
Nouakchott Academy
11 Apr
SNIM
1 : 3
Nouakchott King's
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)