Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nouadhibou vs Nouakchott King's

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
El Abd I.
65' Event
Cisse M.
88'

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Nouadhibou and Nouakchott King's finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Nouadhibou
22%
Draws
18%
Nouakchott King's
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Nouadhibou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Nouakchott King's haven't matched Nouadhibou's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Nouadhibou's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Nouadhibou Clean Sheet 68%
Nouakchott King's Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nouadhibou Nouakchott King's
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 2.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Ligue 1
Nouakchott King's vs Nouadhibou
3:2
Jan 6, 2026 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Nouakchott King's
1:1
Apr 13, 2025 Ligue 1
Nouakchott King's vs Nouadhibou
1:1
Dec 6, 2024 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Nouakchott King's
1:0
Apr 13, 2024 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Nouakchott King's
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nouadhibou Compare

Top Goalscorer Cisse M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Nouakchott King's Compare

Top Goalscorer El Abd I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nouadhibou 68 / 100
Nouakchott King's 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nouadhibou Nouakchott King's

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nouadhibou scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Nouakchott King's let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Nouadhibou remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nouadhibou VS Nouakchott King's
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nouadhibou

(Home)
23 May
Nouadhibou
1 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
17 May
Nouakchott King's
3 : 2
Nouadhibou
10 May
Nouadhibou
4 : 1
Police
04 May
Douane
2 : 2
Nouadhibou
25 Apr
Kaedi
0 : 1
Nouadhibou
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Nouakchott King's

(Away)
23 May
Nouakchott King's
2 : 0
Kaedi
17 May
Nouakchott King's
3 : 2
Nouadhibou
12 May
Chemal
3 : 4
Nouakchott King's
07 May
Nouakchott King's
1 : 2
Nouakchott Academy
11 Apr
SNIM
1 : 3
Nouakchott King's
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nouadhibou26177249:1558
2Nzeidane26137642:3546
3Douane26129540:2945
4Pompiers261111429:2244
5Nouakchott Academy26109732:2239
6Gendrim26910726:2937
7Chemal261061034:3536
8Nouakchott King's26810837:3434
9SNIM26712729:2833
10Tevragh-Zeina26711834:3332
11Police265111028:3126
12Kaedi26581321:3723
13Ksar26451723:4817
14Inter Nouakchott26361724:5015
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)