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Nouadhibou vs San Pedro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Nouadhibou have averaged 1.76 scored and 0.62 conceded recently, against San Pedro's 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor San Pedro slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 17, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.13) back Nouadhibou to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Nouadhibou
35%
Draws
41%
San Pedro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Pedro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • San Pedro haven't matched Nouadhibou's recent run of results.
  • Model gives San Pedro a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Nouadhibou have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Nouadhibou Clean Sheet 21%
San Pedro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nouadhibou San Pedro
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 17 10
Draws 9 12
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 1.76 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.62 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 CAF Champions League
San Pedro vs Nouadhibou
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nouadhibou 29 / 100
San Pedro 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nouadhibou San Pedro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Pedro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nouadhibou's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

San Pedro has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Nouadhibou has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nouadhibou VS San Pedro
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nouadhibou

(Home)
17 Oct
San Pedro
2 : 1
Nouadhibou
10 Oct
Nouadhibou
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
13 Sept
Nouadhibou
0 : 0
Vipers
05 Sept
Vipers
1 : 1
Nouadhibou
23 May
Nouadhibou
1 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
Page 1 of 6

San Pedro

(Away)
17 Oct
San Pedro
2 : 1
Nouadhibou
10 Oct
Bouake
0 : 3
San Pedro
04 Oct
Tchologo
0 : 2
San Pedro
27 Sept
San Pedro
0 : 1
Zoman
13 Sept
Rivers United
2 : 2
San Pedro
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Wiliete 5
Foresters 0
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Scottland 1
Nsingizini Hotspurs 0
UD Songo 2
Petro Atletico 3
Mangasport 3
African Stars 3
La Cure Waves 1
Orlando Pirates 3
15 de Agosto 5
Fomboni 0
Mighty Wanderers FC 1
Simba 7
CFFA 3
Lijabatho 1
Gaborone Utd 2
Young Africans 3
Asswehly 4
KVZ 0
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
Aigles du Congo 1
APR 3
Port 1
Zamalek 6
EL Merriekh Bentiu 4
Heegan 0
Mahia 1
Pyramids 7
Aiglons 0
Sidama Bunna 3
Aigle Noir 0
Al Hilal Omdurman 3
Star Sport Academy 1
Medina United 1
TBD -
Berkane -
Maghreb Fez 4
Rahimo 1
ASC Kara 2
ASEC Mimosas 3
Canchungo 0
Teungueth 2
Colombe 1
Stade Malien 0
Rangers International 3
Sobemap 2
Nigelec 0
MC Alger 5
San Pedro 3
Rivers United 3
Vipers 1
Nouadhibou 1
Saoura 2
Horoya 3
Al Merreikh 2
Power Dynamos 0
Medeama 1
Mazembe 4
Club Africain 3
Djoliba 2
Final
Wiliete 0
Mamelodi Sundowns 0
Scottland 2
Petro Atletico 0
African Stars 0
Orlando Pirates 1
15 de Agosto 0
Simba 2
CFFA 0
Young Africans 4
Asswehly 1
Esperance Tunis 0
APR 0
Zamalek 1
EL Merriekh Bentiu 0
Pyramids 1
Sidama Bunna 0
Al Hilal Omdurman 2
Star Sport Academy 0
Berkane 2
Maghreb Fez 1
ASEC Mimosas 1
Teungueth 0
Colombe 2
Rangers International 2
MC Alger 0
San Pedro 2
Nouadhibou 1
Horoya 1
Al Merreikh 0
Mazembe 1
Club Africain 1