Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nouakchott King's vs Douane - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nouakchott King's host Douane in the Ligue 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Nouakchott King's have averaged 1.45 scored and 1.24 conceded recently, against Douane's 1.52 scored and 1.14 conceded. Past meetings favor Douane slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.69 - 1.00) back Douane to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Nouakchott King's
20%
Draws
23%
Douane
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nouakchott King's

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Douane lately — more wins on the board than Nouakchott King's.
  • Model gives Nouakchott King's a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Nouakchott King's Clean Sheet 20%
Douane Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nouakchott King's Douane
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 12 10
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.45 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Ligue 1
Douane vs Nouakchott King's
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Ligue 1
Nouakchott King's vs Douane
1:2
Mar 6, 2025 Ligue 1
Douane vs Nouakchott King's
0:0
Oct 29, 2024 Ligue 1
Nouakchott King's vs Douane
1:1
Mar 10, 2024 Ligue 1
Nouakchott King's vs Douane
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nouakchott King's 85 / 100
Douane 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nouakchott King's Douane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nouakchott King's Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nouakchott King's scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Douane conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Nouakchott King's remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nouakchott King's VS Douane
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nouakchott King's

(Home)
11 Oct
Nouakchott King's
1 : 1
SNIM
23 May
Nouakchott King's
2 : 0
Kaedi
17 May
Nouakchott King's
3 : 2
Nouadhibou
12 May
Chemal
3 : 4
Nouakchott King's
07 May
Nouakchott King's
1 : 2
Nouakchott Academy
Page 1 of 6

Douane

(Away)
11 Oct
Douane
1 : 2
Gendrim
19 Sept
Hafia
0 : 1
Douane
05 Sept
Douane
2 : 2
Hafia
25 May
Nzeidane
3 : 0
Douane
19 May
Douane
0 : 1
Gendrim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pompiers 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Gendrim 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 SNIM 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Nouakchott King's 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Tevragh-Zeina 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
6 Nouadhibou 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Armee 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Police 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 Kaedi 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Chemal 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Nzeidane 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
12 Nouakchott Academy 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
13 Douane 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
14 Kedia 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)