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Nouakchott King's vs Ksar

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Sissokho M.
34' Event
Chems Dine E.
56'
Bilal B.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Nouakchott King's and Ksar finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Nouakchott King's
15%
Draws
17%
Ksar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nouakchott King's

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nouakchott King's come out ahead of Ksar on wins alone.
  • Model gives Nouakchott King's a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Nouakchott King's Clean Sheet 68%
Ksar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nouakchott King's Ksar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 11 6
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.5 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Ligue 1
Nouakchott King's vs Ksar
2:2
Oct 25, 2025 Ligue 1
Ksar vs Nouakchott King's
0:1
Feb 20, 2025 Ligue 1
Ksar vs Nouakchott King's
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 Ligue 1
Nouakchott King's vs Ksar
1:0
Mar 3, 2024 Ligue 1
Ksar vs Nouakchott King's
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nouakchott King's Compare

Top Goalscorer Chems Dine E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fodie T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Ksar Compare

Top Goalscorer Sissokho M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dieng P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nouakchott King's 95 / 100
Ksar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nouakchott King's Ksar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nouakchott King's Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ksar conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Nouakchott King's's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Nouakchott King's stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nouakchott King's VS Ksar
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nouakchott King's

(Home)
23 May
Nouakchott King's
2 : 0
Kaedi
17 May
Nouakchott King's
3 : 2
Nouadhibou
12 May
Chemal
3 : 4
Nouakchott King's
07 May
Nouakchott King's
1 : 2
Nouakchott Academy
11 Apr
SNIM
1 : 3
Nouakchott King's
Page 1 of 6

Ksar

(Away)
24 May
Ksar
1 : 3
Tevragh-Zeina
19 May
Ksar
2 : 3
Nzeidane
09 May
Gendrim
1 : 4
Ksar
04 May
Ksar
0 : 1
Kaedi
10 Apr
Nouadhibou
5 : 0
Ksar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)