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Nova Cidade vs Belford Roxo

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Batista Martins G.
63' Event
Robert Carioca
69' Event
Renan Rodrigues

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B1 2024 game between Nova Cidade and Belford Roxo finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nova Cidade
6%
Draws
4%
Belford Roxo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nova Cidade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nova Cidade carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Nova Cidade a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca B1 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Nova Cidade Clean Sheet 68%
Belford Roxo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Cidade Belford Roxo
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 9 5
Draws 11 8
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 0.88 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2024 Carioca B1
Nova Cidade vs Belford Roxo
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nova Cidade Compare

Top Goalscorer Robert Carioca
1 Goals
Assists Leader Resende De Ruas T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Belford Roxo Compare

Top Goalscorer Batista Martins G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Renan Rodrigues
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Cidade 95 / 100
Belford Roxo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Cidade Belford Roxo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Nova Cidade scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Belford Roxo let in goals in 60% of their last 20 matches.

Solid form: Nova Cidade remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nova Cidade VS Belford Roxo
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nova Cidade

(Home)
08 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Friburguense
05 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Campo Grande
01 Nov
Duque de Caxias
2 : 2
Nova Cidade
25 Oct
Bonsucesso
1 : 0
Nova Cidade
18 Oct
Nova Cidade
0 : 0
Artsul
Page 1 of 6

Belford Roxo

(Away)
23 Jun
Resende
8 : 1
Belford Roxo
17 Jun
Belford Roxo
1 : 3
Resende
23 Nov
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Goytacaz
16 Nov
Goytacaz
0 : 0
Belford Roxo
09 Nov
Belford Roxo
2 : 0
Serra Macaense
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Artsul851210:516
2Paduano EC85126:316
3Sao Goncalo834110:213
4Perolas Negras83238:911
5Friburguense82425:410
6Nova Cidade824210:1110
7Sao Cristovao82153:97
8Serrano FC81345:96
9Belford Roxo80625:106
Promotion - Carioca B1 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2024 (Main)