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Nova Cidade vs Belford Roxo Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2024
Nova Cidade Logo

Nova Cidade

2 - 2
FT
Belford Roxo Logo

Belford Roxo

Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Batista Martins G.
63' Event
Robert Carioca
69' Event
Renan Rodrigues
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B1 2024 game between Nova Cidade and Belford Roxo finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Nova Cidade
35%
Draws
49%
Belford Roxo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Belford Roxo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Nova Cidade carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Belford Roxo a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca B1 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Nova Cidade Clean Sheet 19%
Belford Roxo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Cidade Belford Roxo
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 8 7
Draws 11 11
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.9 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.22 1.26
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2024 Carioca B1
Nova Cidade vs Belford Roxo
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nova Cidade Compare

Top Goalscorer Robert Carioca
1 Goals
Assists Leader Resende De Ruas T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.94
Avg xA / game 0.61

Belford Roxo Compare

Top Goalscorer Batista Martins G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Renan Rodrigues
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Cidade 20 / 100
Belford Roxo 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Cidade Belford Roxo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belford Roxo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Nova Cidade scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Belford Roxo let in goals in 58% of their last 26 matches.

Solid form: Nova Cidade remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nova Cidade VS Belford Roxo
0.57 Goals Scored 1.38
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.88
43% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nova Cidade

(Home)
03 Oct
Audax RJ
0 : 0
Nova Cidade
26 Sept
Nova Cidade
1 : 2
Goytacaz
19 Sept
Niteroiense
1 : 0
Nova Cidade
12 Sept
Nova Cidade
2 : 2
Sao Cristovao
05 Sept
Duque de Caxias
3 : 0
Nova Cidade
Page 1 of 6

Belford Roxo

(Away)
01 Oct
Belford Roxo
3 : 0
Santa Cruz RJ
27 Sept
Friburguense
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
20 Sept
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
13 Sept
Campos AA
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
06 Sept
Belford Roxo
0 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artsul 8 5 1 2 10:5 16
2 Paduano EC 8 5 1 2 6:3 16
3 Sao Goncalo 8 3 4 1 10:2 13
4 Perolas Negras 8 3 2 3 8:9 11
5 Friburguense 8 2 4 2 5:4 10
6 Nova Cidade 8 2 4 2 10:11 10
7 Sao Cristovao 8 2 1 5 3:9 7
8 Serrano FC 8 1 3 4 5:9 6
9 Belford Roxo 8 0 6 2 5:10 6
Promotion - Carioca B1 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2024 (Main)