Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nova Cidade vs Campo Grande

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Robert Carioca
44'
Luiz Felipe

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B1 2025 game between Nova Cidade and Campo Grande finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nova Cidade.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nova Cidade
33%
Draws
27%
Campo Grande
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Nova Cidade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Nova Cidade haven't matched Campo Grande's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Nova Cidade a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca B1 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Nova Cidade Clean Sheet 68%
Campo Grande Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Cidade Campo Grande
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 11 8
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2025 Carioca B1
Nova Cidade vs Campo Grande
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nova Cidade Compare

Top Goalscorer Robert Carioca
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Campo Grande Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Cidade 50 / 100
Campo Grande 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Cidade Campo Grande

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nova Cidade scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Campo Grande conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Nova Cidade stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Nova Cidade VS Campo Grande
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nova Cidade

(Home)
08 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Friburguense
05 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Campo Grande
01 Nov
Duque de Caxias
2 : 2
Nova Cidade
25 Oct
Bonsucesso
1 : 0
Nova Cidade
18 Oct
Nova Cidade
0 : 0
Artsul
Page 1 of 6

Campo Grande

(Away)
08 Nov
Goncalense
0 : 1
Campo Grande
05 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Campo Grande
01 Nov
Campo Grande
0 : 1
AA Carapebus
24 Oct
Campo Grande
1 : 1
Niteroiense
18 Oct
Paduano EC
0 : 1
Campo Grande
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bonsucesso1164114:722
2Sao Cristovao1154214:819
3Serrano FC1153314:1118
4Duque de Caxias1153310:918
5Niteroiense1144316:1416
6Goncalense1151511:916
7Nova Cidade114439:916
8Campo Grande113629:815
9Artsul1134411:1013
10AA Carapebus113356:1312
11Paduano EC1131712:1810
12Friburguense111193:134
Promotion - Carioca B1 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2025 (Main)