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Nova Cidade vs Campo Grande

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2025
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Match Events

10' Event
Robert Carioca
44'
Luiz Felipe

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B1 2025 game between Nova Cidade and Campo Grande finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nova Cidade.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Nova Cidade
20%
Draws
34%
Campo Grande
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nova Cidade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Nova Cidade haven't matched Campo Grande's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Nova Cidade a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca B1 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Nova Cidade Clean Sheet 68%
Campo Grande Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Cidade Campo Grande
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 0.93 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2025 Carioca B1
Nova Cidade vs Campo Grande
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nova Cidade Compare

Top Goalscorer Robert Carioca
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Campo Grande Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Cidade 51 / 100
Campo Grande 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Cidade Campo Grande

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nova Cidade scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Campo Grande conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Nova Cidade stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Campo Grande has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nova Cidade VS Campo Grande
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nova Cidade

(Home)
12 Sept
Nova Cidade
2 : 2
Sao Cristovao
05 Sept
Duque de Caxias
3 : 0
Nova Cidade
08 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Friburguense
05 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Campo Grande
01 Nov
Duque de Caxias
2 : 2
Nova Cidade
Page 1 of 6

Campo Grande

(Away)
12 Sept
Artsul
3 : 2
Campo Grande
05 Sept
Campo Grande
1 : 0
AA Carapebus
08 Nov
Goncalense
0 : 1
Campo Grande
05 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Campo Grande
01 Nov
Campo Grande
0 : 1
AA Carapebus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 14:7 22
2 Sao Cristovao 11 5 4 2 14:8 19
3 Serrano FC 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
4 Duque de Caxias 11 5 3 3 10:9 18
5 Niteroiense 11 4 4 3 16:14 16
6 Goncalense 11 5 1 5 11:9 16
7 Nova Cidade 11 4 4 3 9:9 16
8 Campo Grande 11 3 6 2 9:8 15
9 Artsul 11 3 4 4 11:10 13
10 AA Carapebus 11 3 3 5 6:13 12
11 Paduano EC 11 3 1 7 12:18 10
12 Friburguense 11 1 1 9 3:13 4
Promotion - Carioca B1 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2025 (Main)