Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nova Cidade vs Perolas Negras

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2024
Nova Cidade Logo

Nova Cidade

1 - 3
FT
Perolas Negras Logo

Perolas Negras

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Caio
18' Event
Garrinsha
33' Event
Castro I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B1 2024 game between Nova Cidade and Perolas Negras finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Perolas Negras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Nova Cidade
30%
Draws
33%
Perolas Negras
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nova Cidade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / High Confidence
  • Perolas Negras carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Nova Cidade are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Carioca B1 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Nova Cidade Clean Sheet 68%
Perolas Negras Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Cidade Perolas Negras
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 12
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 0.8 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.6 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.60 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2024 Carioca B1
Nova Cidade vs Perolas Negras
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nova Cidade Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcelinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.4

Perolas Negras Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garrinsha
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Cidade 59 / 100
Perolas Negras 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Cidade Perolas Negras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Nova Cidade scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Perolas Negras let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Nova Cidade went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nova Cidade VS Perolas Negras
0.8 Goals Scored 1.13
0.6 Goals Conceded 1.38
20% Over 1.5 75%
20% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nova Cidade

(Home)
08 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Friburguense
05 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Campo Grande
01 Nov
Duque de Caxias
2 : 2
Nova Cidade
25 Oct
Bonsucesso
1 : 0
Nova Cidade
18 Oct
Nova Cidade
0 : 0
Artsul
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Perolas Negras

(Away)
22 Jul
Marica
3 : 0
Perolas Negras
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0
Marica
04 Jul
Marica
2 : 0
Perolas Negras
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Perolas Negras
5 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artsul 8 5 1 2 10:5 16
2 Paduano EC 8 5 1 2 6:3 16
3 Sao Goncalo 8 3 4 1 10:2 13
4 Perolas Negras 8 3 2 3 8:9 11
5 Friburguense 8 2 4 2 5:4 10
6 Nova Cidade 8 2 4 2 10:11 10
7 Sao Cristovao 8 2 1 5 3:9 7
8 Serrano FC 8 1 3 4 5:9 6
9 Belford Roxo 8 0 6 2 5:10 6
Promotion - Carioca B1 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2024 (Main)