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Nova Cidade vs Sao Cristovao

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
36' Event
47' Event

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca B1 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Nova Cidade
30%
Draws
29%
Sao Cristovao
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nova Cidade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Nova Cidade at 0.89 per game, Sao Cristovao at 0.78.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Carioca B1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Nova Cidade Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Cristovao Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Cidade Sao Cristovao
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 8
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.89 0.78
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Carioca B1
Nova Cidade vs Sao Cristovao
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 Carioca B1
Nova Cidade vs Sao Cristovao
0:0
Nov 6, 2024 Carioca B1
Sao Cristovao vs Nova Cidade
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Cidade 31 / 100
Sao Cristovao 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Cidade Sao Cristovao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nova Cidade Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nova Cidade scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Nova Cidade has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Sao Cristovao conceded in 59% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Nova Cidade VS Sao Cristovao
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nova Cidade

(Home)
19 Sept
Niteroiense
1 : 0
Nova Cidade
12 Sept
Nova Cidade
2 : 2
Sao Cristovao
05 Sept
Duque de Caxias
3 : 0
Nova Cidade
08 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Friburguense
05 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Campo Grande
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Sao Cristovao

(Away)
25 Sept
AA Carapebus
0 : 1
Sao Cristovao
19 Sept
Sao Cristovao
0 : 1
Duque de Caxias
12 Sept
Nova Cidade
2 : 2
Sao Cristovao
05 Sept
Sao Cristovao
0 : 0
Goncalense
08 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
2 : 1
Sao Cristovao
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duque de Caxias 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Artsul 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
3 Niteroiense 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
4 Campo Grande 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
5 Goncalense 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
6 Sao Cristovao 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
7 Goytacaz 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
8 Serrano FC 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
9 Macae 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
10 Nova Cidade 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
11 AA Carapebus 4 0 1 3 1:6 1
12 Audax RJ 3 0 0 3 0:5 0
Promotion - Carioca B1 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2027 (Main)