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Nova Conquista vs Uniao Carmolandense Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Nova Conquista
20%
Draws
58%
Uniao Carmolandense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uniao Carmolandense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uniao Carmolandense lately — more wins on the board than Nova Conquista.
  • Uniao Carmolandense are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Nova Conquista Clean Sheet 20%
Uniao Carmolandense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Conquista Uniao Carmolandense
Matches Played 23 37
Wins 5 18
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.09 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2022 Tocantinense
Nova Conquista vs Uniao Carmolandense
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Conquista 12 / 100
Uniao Carmolandense 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Conquista Uniao Carmolandense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao Carmolandense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Nova Conquista scored in 70% of their last 23 games.

Uniao Carmolandense has conceded goals in 51% of their last 37 outings.

Nova Conquista has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Uniao Carmolandense
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nova Conquista

(Home)
12 Mar
Araguacema
3 : 1
Nova Conquista
06 Mar
Nova Conquista
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
02 Mar
Nova Conquista
0 : 1
Capital FC
26 Feb
Tocantins
0 : 2
Nova Conquista
19 Feb
Interporto
3 : 0
Nova Conquista
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Uniao Carmolandense

(Away)
05 Apr
Tocantinopolis
2 : 1
Uniao Carmolandense
02 Apr
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Tocantinopolis
21 Mar
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Gurupi
14 Mar
Gurupi
1 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
07 Mar
Araguaina
0 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 9 7 1 1 28:8 22
2 Capital FC 9 6 2 1 16:6 20
3 Interporto 9 5 4 0 16:5 19
4 Uniao Carmolandense 9 5 3 1 11:8 18
5 Bela Vista-TO 9 3 3 3 12:10 12
6 Palmas 9 2 3 4 16:11 9
7 Nova Conquista 9 2 3 4 11:14 9
8 Araguacema 9 2 2 5 12:14 8
9 Gurupi 9 1 2 6 8:17 5
10 Tocantins 9 0 1 8 4:41 1
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2022 (Play Offs)