Sport Picks
Match Events
23'
23'
Keke
49'
49'
Augusto
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Boavista
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Nova Iguacu have won more games recently than Boavista.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Nova Iguacu have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Nova Iguacu, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Nova Iguacu Clean Sheet 16%
Boavista Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nova Iguacu | Boavista |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.09 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Copa Rio
Boavista vs Nova Iguacu
2:0
Sep 19, 2026 Copa Rio
Nova Iguacu vs Boavista
1:1
Jun 28, 2025 Serie D
Boavista vs Nova Iguacu
1:1
May 17, 2025 Serie D
Nova Iguacu vs Boavista
2:1
Jan 27, 2025 Carioca
Nova Iguacu vs Boavista
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nova Iguacu Compare
Top Goalscorer Augusto
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Boavista Compare
Top Goalscorer Keke
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nova Iguacu 31 / 100
Boavista 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nova Iguacu Boavista
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nova Iguacu's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Boavista's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Nova Iguacu remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Nova Iguacu VS Boavista
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Nova Iguacu
(Home) 26 Sept
Boavista
2 : 0 Nova Iguacu
19 Sept
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1 Boavista
02 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 1 Nova Iguacu
26 Aug
Nova Iguacu
2 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
12 Aug
Nova Iguacu
0 : 0 Olaria
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19 Sept
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1 Boavista
26 Aug
Nova Iguacu
2 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
12 Aug
Nova Iguacu
0 : 0 Olaria
22 Jul
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1 America RJ
07 Jun
Nova Iguacu
1 : 0 Piracicaba
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Boavista
(Away) 26 Sept
Boavista
2 : 0 Nova Iguacu
19 Sept
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1 Boavista
02 Sept
Madureira
0 : 0 Boavista
26 Aug
Boavista
2 : 0 Madureira
12 Aug
Boavista
3 : 0 Marica
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1 Boavista
02 Sept
Madureira
0 : 0 Boavista
05 Aug
Marica
1 : 0 Boavista
15 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
0 : 1 Boavista
28 Feb
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0 Boavista
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Americano 2
Macae 1
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
Cabofriense 1
Bonsucesso 3
TBD -
Madureira -
Perolas Negras 10
Santa Cruz RJ 1
TBD -
Marica -
CEAC/Araruama 2
Sao Cristovao 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Olaria 6
Duque de Caxias 0
TBD -
Bangu -
America RJ -
Goytacaz -
TBD -
Nova Iguacu -
Sao Goncalo 3
Serrano FC 2
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
Resende 11
Belford Roxo 2
TBD -
Sampaio Correa FE -
1/8-finals
Americano 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 4
Perolas Negras 0
Marica 3
CEAC/Araruama 0
Boavista 5
Olaria 3
Bangu 1
America RJ 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Sao Goncalo 2
Volta Redonda 1
Resende 0
Sampaio Correa FE 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 1
Madureira 2
Marica 1
Boavista 3
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Sao Goncalo 0
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Semi-finals
Madureira 0
Boavista 2
Nova Iguacu 3
Sampaio Correa FE 2
Final
Boavista 3
Nova Iguacu 1
Madureira 1
Sampaio Correa FE 3
