Sport Picks
Nova Iguacu vs CEAC/Araruama
Brazil
Copa Rio 2025 Estadio Janio Moraes, Rio de Janeiro 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
CEAC/Araruama in this Copa Rio 2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- CEAC/Araruama have won more games recently than Nova Iguacu.
- Nova Iguacu are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- CEAC/Araruama arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor CEAC/Araruama, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nova Iguacu | CEAC/Araruama |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nova Iguacu Compare
CEAC/Araruama Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nova Iguacu found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).
CEAC/Araruama has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Nova Iguacu remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
