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Nova Lavras vs Novo Esporte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3
Nova Lavras Logo

Nova Lavras

3 - 0
FT
Novo Esporte Logo

Novo Esporte

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
52' Event
81' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nova Lavras in this Mineiro 3 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nova Lavras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Nova Lavras
22%
Draws
40%
Novo Esporte
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Novo Esporte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Novo Esporte lately — more wins on the board than Nova Lavras.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Nova Lavras taking it.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Nova Lavras Clean Sheet 20%
Novo Esporte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Lavras Novo Esporte
Matches Played 4 26
Wins 2 12
Draws 0 6
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 4.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.05 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Mineiro 3
Nova Lavras vs Novo Esporte
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Lavras 85 / 100
Novo Esporte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Lavras Novo Esporte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nova Lavras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nova Lavras's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 4 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Novo Esporte conceded in 54% of 26 recent games.

Nova Lavras went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nova Lavras VS Novo Esporte
3.6 Goals Scored 1.63
0.8 Goals Conceded 0.5
80% Over 1.5 63%
80% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nova Lavras

(Home)
10 Oct
Nova Lavras
13 : 0
Santarritense
05 Oct
Nacional de Muriae
2 : 1
Nova Lavras
26 Sept
Nova Lavras
3 : 0
Novo Esporte
19 Sept
Venda Nova FC
2 : 1
Nova Lavras

Novo Esporte

(Away)
10 Oct
Novo Esporte
1 : 0
Nacional de Muriae
03 Oct
Novo Esporte
0 : 0
Venda Nova FC
26 Sept
Nova Lavras
3 : 0
Novo Esporte
19 Sept
Novo Esporte
2 : 1
Inter de Minas
22 Nov
Paracatu
0 : 0
Novo Esporte
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venda Nova FC 4 3 1 0 13:1 10
2 Nacional de Muriae 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
3 Novo Esporte 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
4 Nova Lavras 4 2 0 2 18:4 6
5 Inter de Minas 4 1 0 3 8:7 3
6 Santarritense 4 0 0 4 1:31 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betim FC 2 4 4 0 0 6:0 12
2 Paracatu 4 3 0 1 10:2 9
3 Sao Joao del Rei 4 2 0 2 3:2 6
4 Funorte EC 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
5 Araxa 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
6 Siderurgica 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 (Final Group)