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Nova Mutum EC U20 vs Caceres U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Matogrossense U20 2024
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AI Match Summary

The Matogrossense U20 2024 game between Nova Mutum EC U20 and Caceres U20 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nova Mutum EC U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Nova Mutum EC U20
20%
Draws
34%
Caceres U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nova Mutum EC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Nova Mutum EC U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Nova Mutum EC U20 a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Nova Mutum EC U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Caceres U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Mutum EC U20 Caceres U20
Matches Played 24 8
Wins 16 3
Draws 5 1
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 3.29 2
Goals Conceded 0.67 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.95 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2024 Matogrossense U20
Caceres U20 vs Nova Mutum EC U20
1:4
May 30, 2024 Matogrossense U20
Nova Mutum EC U20 vs Caceres U20
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Mutum EC U20 85 / 100
Caceres U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Mutum EC U20 Caceres U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nova Mutum EC U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Nova Mutum EC U20's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Caceres U20 let in goals in 75% of their last 8 matches.

Solid form: Nova Mutum EC U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nova Mutum EC U20 VS Caceres U20
3.5 Goals Scored 2
0.5 Goals Conceded 4.4
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Nova Mutum EC U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Nova Mutum EC U20
2 : 2
Luverdense U20
30 Aug
Luverdense U20
1 : 0
Nova Mutum EC U20
23 Aug
Nova Mutum EC U20
4 : 0
Campo Novo U20
17 Aug
Campo Novo U20
0 : 4
Nova Mutum EC U20
12 Aug
Luverdense U20
0 : 0
Nova Mutum EC U20
Page 1 of 5

Caceres U20

(Away)
13 Jul
Luverdense U20
11 : 1
Caceres U20
08 Jul
Caceres U20
1 : 4
Luverdense U20
29 Jun
Caceres U20
1 : 4
Nova Mutum EC U20
23 Jun
Santa Cruz MT U20
2 : 3
Caceres U20
19 Jun
Campo Novo U20
1 : 4
Caceres U20
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dom Bosco U20 6 4 2 0 14:7 14
2 Academia U20 6 3 2 1 14:10 11
3 Uniao Rondonopolis U20 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
4 Rondonopolis EC U20 6 0 0 6 8:22 0
Promotion - Matogrossense U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba U20 6 6 0 0 27:0 18
2 Acao U20 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
3 Mixto U20 6 1 3 2 6:13 6
4 Várzea Grande EC U20 6 0 2 4 4:21 2
Promotion - Matogrossense U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nova Mutum EC U20 6 6 0 0 40:4 18
2 Caceres U20 6 3 1 2 14:10 10
3 Santa Cruz MT U20 6 1 1 4 5:9 4
4 Campo Novo U20 6 1 0 5 4:40 3
Promotion - Matogrossense U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luverdense U20 6 4 1 1 10:4 13
2 Sinop FC U20 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
3 Juara U20 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
4 Sport Sinop U20 6 0 0 6 3:18 0
Promotion - Matogrossense U20 2024 (Play Offs)