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Nova Mutum EC U20 vs Luverdense U20

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense U20 2025
Nova Mutum EC U20 Logo

Nova Mutum EC U20

2 - 2
FT
Luverdense U20 Logo

Luverdense U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Nova Mutum EC U20
35%
Draws
25%
Luverdense U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nova Mutum EC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Nova Mutum EC U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Nova Mutum EC U20 a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Nova Mutum EC U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Nova Mutum EC U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Luverdense U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Mutum EC U20 Luverdense U20
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 3.29 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Matogrossense U20
Nova Mutum EC U20 vs Luverdense U20
2:2
Aug 30, 2025 Matogrossense U20
Luverdense U20 vs Nova Mutum EC U20
1:0
Aug 12, 2025 Matogrossense U20
Luverdense U20 vs Nova Mutum EC U20
0:0
Jul 19, 2025 Matogrossense U20
Nova Mutum EC U20 vs Luverdense U20
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Mutum EC U20 85 / 100
Luverdense U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Mutum EC U20 Luverdense U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nova Mutum EC U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nova Mutum EC U20 scored in 79% of their last 24 games.

Luverdense U20 has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Nova Mutum EC U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Nova Mutum EC U20 VS Luverdense U20
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nova Mutum EC U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Nova Mutum EC U20
2 : 2
Luverdense U20
30 Aug
Luverdense U20
1 : 0
Nova Mutum EC U20
23 Aug
Nova Mutum EC U20
4 : 0
Campo Novo U20
17 Aug
Campo Novo U20
0 : 4
Nova Mutum EC U20
12 Aug
Luverdense U20
0 : 0
Nova Mutum EC U20
Page 1 of 5

Luverdense U20

(Away)
16 Sept
Athletico-PR U20
5 : 2
Luverdense U20
18 Jul
Cuiaba U20
1 : 1
Luverdense U20
12 Jul
Luverdense U20
1 : 5
Cuiaba U20
06 Jul
Luverdense U20
4 : 1
Sorriso EC U20
27 Jun
Sport Sinop U20
2 : 2
Luverdense U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Santa Cruz MT U20 3
Luverdense U20 6
Nova Mutum EC U20 8
Campo Novo U20 0
Mixto U20 3
Uniao Rondonopolis U20 4
Cuiaba U20 8
Chapada U20 0
Semi-finals
Luverdense U20 3
Nova Mutum EC U20 2
Uniao Rondonopolis U20 0
Cuiaba U20 8
Final
Luverdense U20 0
Cuiaba U20 9