Sport Picks
Nova Mutum EC vs Chapada
Brazil
Matogrossense Estádio Municipal Valdir Doilho Wons, Nova Mutum 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Nova Mutum EC in this Matogrossense matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nova Mutum EC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Nova Mutum EC have won more games recently than Chapada.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nova Mutum EC | Chapada |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 17 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nova Mutum EC Compare
Chapada Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Nova Mutum EC scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Chapada's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 17 matches.
Solid form: Nova Mutum EC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Nova Mutum EC
(Home)Chapada
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luverdense | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 7:3 | 17 |
| 2 | Mixto | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:4 | 15 |
| 3 | Operario VG | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 4 | Sport Sinop | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6:4 | 13 |
| 5 | Cuiaba | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:8 | 12 |
| 6 | Nova Mutum EC | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:15 | 12 |
| 7 | Chapada | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 8 | Uniao Rondonopolis | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 9 | Primavera AC | 9 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 6:9 | 10 |
| 10 | Várzea Grande EC | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:14 | 5 |
