Sport Picks
Nova Mutum EC vs Primavera AC
Brazil
Matogrossense 2025 Estádio Municipal Valdir Doilho Wons, Nova Mutum 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Primavera AC in this Matogrossense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Primavera AC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Primavera AC haven't matched Nova Mutum EC's recent run of results.
- Model gives Nova Mutum EC a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nova Mutum EC | Primavera AC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 38 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 14 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nova Mutum EC Compare
Primavera AC Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.
Nova Mutum EC's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Primavera AC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 38 matches.
Recent resilience: Nova Mutum EC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Nova Mutum EC
(Home)Primavera AC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mixto | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Cuiaba | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 18:5 | 16 |
| 3 | Operario VG | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 11:4 | 16 |
| 4 | Primavera AC | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 5 | Nova Mutum EC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:18 | 10 |
| 6 | Uniao Rondonopolis | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 7 | Luverdense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:14 | 8 |
| 8 | Sport Sinop | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | 5 |
| 9 | Academia | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2:11 | 1 |
| 10 | Caceres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
