Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nova Mutum EC vs Sport Sinop

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense Estádio Municipal Valdir Doilho Wons, Nova Mutum
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Felipe Gazzoni
31' Event
Fabricio
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Matogrossense game between Nova Mutum EC and Sport Sinop finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Nova Mutum EC
20%
Draws
38%
Sport Sinop
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nova Mutum EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Nova Mutum EC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Nova Mutum EC Clean Sheet 20%
Sport Sinop Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nova Mutum EC Sport Sinop
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.23 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Matogrossense
Nova Mutum EC vs Sport Sinop
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 Matogrossense
Nova Mutum EC vs Sport Sinop
1:0
Jan 28, 2023 Matogrossense
Nova Mutum EC vs Sport Sinop
1:1
Jan 30, 2022 Matogrossense
Nova Mutum EC vs Sport Sinop
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nova Mutum EC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Sport Sinop Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Gazzoni
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Mutum EC 36 / 100
Sport Sinop 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nova Mutum EC Sport Sinop

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Sinop Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nova Mutum EC's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sport Sinop's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Nova Mutum EC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.25 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Nova Mutum EC VS Sport Sinop
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 25%
88% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nova Mutum EC

(Home)
11 Feb
Operario VG
3 : 2
Nova Mutum EC
08 Feb
Nova Mutum EC
2 : 1
Mixto
05 Feb
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 3
Nova Mutum EC
31 Jan
Cuiaba
2 : 1
Nova Mutum EC
28 Jan
Nova Mutum EC
3 : 2
Chapada
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Sport Sinop

(Away)
22 Feb
Luverdense
2 : 2
Sport Sinop
15 Feb
Sport Sinop
0 : 1
Luverdense
12 Feb
Sport Sinop
1 : 0
Cuiaba
08 Feb
Sport Sinop
2 : 0
Chapada
05 Feb
Mixto
0 : 0
Sport Sinop
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luverdense 9 5 2 2 7:3 17
2 Mixto 9 4 3 2 13:4 15
3 Operario VG 9 4 2 3 9:9 14
4 Sport Sinop 9 3 4 2 6:4 13
5 Cuiaba 9 3 3 3 8:8 12
6 Nova Mutum EC 9 3 3 3 13:15 12
7 Chapada 9 3 2 4 12:13 11
8 Uniao Rondonopolis 9 2 4 3 7:7 10
9 Primavera AC 9 1 7 1 6:9 10
10 Várzea Grande EC 9 1 2 6 5:14 5
Promotion - Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Matogrossense 2 2027 (Main)