Sport Picks

Brazil

Capixaba 2025 Estádio Zenor Pedrosa Rocha

Nova Venecia

0 - 2

Real Noroeste

Our Tip

Match Events

Lucas Tavares

45'

Lucas Neres

58'

Sub

da Silva R. In: Caxito

Out: da Silva R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Real Noroeste in this Capixaba 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Noroeste.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Nova Venecia

Draws

90%

Real Noroeste

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Real Noroeste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Real Noroeste have won more games recently than Nova Venecia.
90% — that's where the model lands on Real Noroeste taking it.
Regular Capixaba 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%

Nova Venecia Clean Sheet 21%

Real Noroeste Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nova Venecia	Real Noroeste
Matches Played	30	36
Wins	7	11
Draws	10	11
Losses	13	14
Goals Scored	0	1.13
Goals Conceded	0	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Capixaba

Nova Venecia vs Real Noroeste

Possession: 60% - 59% Cards: 0 - 3

0:2

Feb 4, 2024 Capixaba

Real Noroeste vs Nova Venecia

Possession: 56% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Apr 22, 2023 Capixaba

Real Noroeste vs Nova Venecia

Possession: 50% - 58% Cards: 3 - 0

3:1

Apr 15, 2023 Capixaba

Nova Venecia vs Real Noroeste

Possession: 41% - 44% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Feb 5, 2023 Capixaba

Nova Venecia vs Real Noroeste

Possession: 51% - 47% Cards: 2 - 0

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nova Venecia Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Real Noroeste Compare

Top Goalscorer Juninho Potiguar

1 Goals

Assists Leader Caxito

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nova Venecia 10 / 100

Real Noroeste 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nova Venecia Real Noroeste

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nova Venecia's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Real Noroeste has conceded goals in 72% of their last 36 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Nova Venecia stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Real Noroeste

0 Goals Scored 1.13

0 Goals Conceded 1.38

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Desportiva Ferroviaria	9	6	3	0	16:3	21
2	Real Noroeste	9	4	4	1	13:8	16
3	Rio Branco-VN	9	4	3	2	10:6	15
4	Capixaba SC	9	4	2	3	12:12	14
5	Rio Branco ES	9	3	5	1	11:6	14
6	Vitoria ES	9	2	3	4	14:10	9
7	Porto Vitoria	9	2	3	4	8:11	9
8	Vilavelhense	9	2	2	5	7:15	8
9	Nova Venecia	9	2	2	5	7:17	8
10	Jaguare	9	1	3	5	5:15	6