Sport Picks
Match Events
88'
88'
Trajkoski J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Novaci
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ohrid lately — more wins on the board than Novaci.
- Model gives Ohrid a 40% chance of winning this.
- Ohrid arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ohrid, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Ohrid have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Novaci Clean Sheet 10%
Ohrid Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Novaci | Ohrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 18 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 2.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 9, 2026 Macedonian Cup
Novaci vs Ohrid
1:0
Aug 15, 2026 2. MFL
Ohrid vs Novaci
2:1
Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Ohrid vs Novaci
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 2. MFL
Ohrid vs Novaci
3:0
Oct 11, 2025 2. MFL
Novaci vs Ohrid
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Novaci Compare
Top Goalscorer Trajkoski J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Ohrid Compare
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Novaci 14 / 100
Ohrid 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Novaci Ohrid
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ohrid Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Novaci found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Ohrid's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Novaci stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Novaci VS Ohrid
0.63 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Novaci
(Home) 19 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1 Novaci
13 Sept
Novaci
3 : 1 Detonit Plackovica
09 Sept
Novaci
1 : 0 Ohrid
05 Sept
Kamjani
1 : 0 Novaci
29 Aug
Osogovo
0 : 0 Novaci
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Novaci
3 : 1 Detonit Plackovica
09 Sept
Novaci
1 : 0 Ohrid
22 Aug
Novaci
0 : 1 Belasica Strumica
23 May
Novaci
3 : 3 Osogovo
10 May
Novaci
1 : 0 Belasica Strumica
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Ohrid
(Away) 19 Sept
Pelister
1 : 0 Ohrid
13 Sept
Ohrid
2 : 1 Gorno Lisice
09 Sept
Novaci
1 : 0 Ohrid
05 Sept
Teteks
0 : 3 Ohrid
30 Aug
Ohrid
5 : 1 Kozuf Gevgelija
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19 Sept
Pelister
1 : 0 Ohrid
09 Sept
Novaci
1 : 0 Ohrid
05 Sept
Teteks
0 : 3 Ohrid
16 May
Detonit Plackovica
0 : 2 Ohrid
06 May
Sileks
1 : 0 Ohrid
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Ovce Pole 0
Vardar 5
BVK Konjare 0
Bashkimi 5
Studenicani 1
Pelister 6
Venec Negotino 0
Brera Strumica 8
Vellazerimi 0
Makedonija GP 14
Vardar Negotino -
Rabotnicki -
Kamenica Sasa 1
Shkupi 0
Teteks 1
Bregalnica Stip 4
Kozuf Gevgelija 0
FK Skopje 1
Detonit Plackovica 1
Shkendija Haracine 3
Novaci 1
Ohrid 0
Osogovo 1
Belasica Strumica 3
Krosu Sport Bitola -
Tikves -
Mogila -
Arsimi -
Pobeda Valandovo 1
Struga 10
Sileks -
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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