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Novaci vs Prespa

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026
Novaci Logo

Novaci

2 - 0
FT
Prespa Logo

Prespa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 2. MFL 2025/2026 game between Novaci and Prespa finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novaci.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Novaci
15%
Draws
26%
Prespa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Novaci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Novaci carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Novaci's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 2. MFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Novaci Clean Sheet 68%
Prespa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novaci Prespa
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 5 0
Losses 11 25
Goals Scored 1.21 1
Goals Conceded 1 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 2. MFL
Novaci vs Prespa
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 2. MFL
Prespa vs Novaci
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novaci 95 / 100
Prespa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novaci Prespa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novaci Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prespa has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Novaci's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Novaci has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Novaci VS Prespa
0.88 Goals Scored 0.8
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.2
38% Over 1.5 80%
25% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Novaci

(Home)
13 Sept
Novaci
3 : 1
Detonit Plackovica
09 Sept
Novaci
1 : 0
Ohrid
05 Sept
Kamjani
1 : 0
Novaci
29 Aug
Osogovo
0 : 0
Novaci
22 Aug
Novaci
0 : 1
Belasica Strumica
Page 1 of 6

Prespa

(Away)
23 May
Prespa
1 : 3
Belasica Strumica
16 May
Sloga Vinica
3 : 2
Prespa
10 May
Prespa
0 : 3
Detonit Plackovica
03 May
Golemo Konjari
0 : 1
Prespa
25 Apr
Prespa
0 : 2
FK Skopje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bregalnica Stip 30 22 5 3 72:17 71
2 FK Skopje 30 23 2 5 72:20 71
3 Shkendija Haracine 30 21 6 3 67:19 69
4 Ohrid 30 21 5 4 78:17 68
5 Belasica Strumica 30 18 4 8 57:21 58
6 Osogovo 30 16 6 8 53:27 54
7 Novaci 30 15 6 9 47:31 51
8 Detonit Plackovica 30 14 7 9 52:28 49
9 Kozuf Gevgelija 30 12 9 9 50:26 45
10 Teteks 30 13 3 14 56:44 42
11 Kamenica Sasa 30 9 9 12 47:53 36
12 Vardar Negotino 30 6 4 20 37:95 22
13 Sloga Vinica 30 4 3 23 31:84 15
14 Prespa 30 5 0 25 30:76 15
15 Pobeda 30 3 2 25 19:117 11
16 Golemo Konjari 30 2 1 27 17:110 7
Promotion - 1. MFL (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)