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Novaci vs Sloga Vinica Prediction & H2H Stats

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026
Novaci Logo

Novaci

4 - 0
FT
Sloga Vinica Logo

Sloga Vinica

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 2. MFL 2025/2026 game between Novaci and Sloga Vinica finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novaci.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Novaci
15%
Draws
20%
Sloga Vinica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Novaci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Novaci carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Novaci's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Novaci Clean Sheet 20%
Sloga Vinica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novaci Sloga Vinica
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1.45 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 2. MFL
Sloga Vinica vs Novaci
0:2
Nov 8, 2025 2. MFL
Novaci vs Sloga Vinica
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novaci 85 / 100
Sloga Vinica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novaci Sloga Vinica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novaci Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sloga Vinica let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Novaci found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Novaci went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Novaci VS Sloga Vinica
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.2
38% Over 1.5 80%
25% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Novaci

(Home)
19 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1
Novaci
13 Sept
Novaci
3 : 1
Detonit Plackovica
09 Sept
Novaci
1 : 0
Ohrid
05 Sept
Kamjani
1 : 0
Novaci
29 Aug
Osogovo
0 : 0
Novaci
Page 1 of 7

Sloga Vinica

(Away)
23 May
Ohrid
7 : 1
Sloga Vinica
16 May
Sloga Vinica
3 : 2
Prespa
10 May
Kamenica Sasa
1 : 0
Sloga Vinica
02 May
Sloga Vinica
0 : 2
Novaci
25 Apr
Bregalnica Stip
4 : 1
Sloga Vinica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bregalnica Stip 30 22 5 3 72:17 71
2 FK Skopje 30 23 2 5 72:20 71
3 Shkendija Haracine 30 21 6 3 67:19 69
4 Ohrid 30 21 5 4 78:17 68
5 Belasica Strumica 30 18 4 8 57:21 58
6 Osogovo 30 16 6 8 53:27 54
7 Novaci 30 15 6 9 47:31 51
8 Detonit Plackovica 30 14 7 9 52:28 49
9 Kozuf Gevgelija 30 12 9 9 50:26 45
10 Teteks 30 13 3 14 56:44 42
11 Kamenica Sasa 30 9 9 12 47:53 36
12 Vardar Negotino 30 6 4 20 37:95 22
13 Sloga Vinica 30 4 3 23 31:84 15
14 Prespa 30 5 0 25 30:76 15
15 Pobeda 30 3 2 25 19:117 11
16 Golemo Konjari 30 2 1 27 17:110 7
Promotion - 1. MFL (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)