Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Novara U19 vs Cremonese U19

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Primavera 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
24' Event
32' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-3, with Novara U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Novara U19
15%
Draws
42%
Cremonese U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Novara U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Cremonese U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Cremonese U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Novara U19, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Novara U19 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Novara U19 Clean Sheet 11%
Cremonese U19 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novara U19 Cremonese U19
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 17 21
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.2 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2018 Primavera 2
Novara U19 vs Cremonese U19
3:2
Oct 28, 2017 Primavera 2
Cremonese U19 vs Novara U19
2:3
Oct 25, 2017 Coppa Italia Primavera
Novara U19 vs Cremonese U19
5:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novara U19 35 / 100
Cremonese U19 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novara U19 Cremonese U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cremonese U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novara U19 scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Cremonese U19 let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.

Solid form: Novara U19 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cremonese U19
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Novara U19

(Home)
16 May
Novara U19
0 : 1
Palermo U19
05 May
Brescia U19
1 : 2
Novara U19
28 Apr
Novara U19
3 : 0
Cittadella U19
21 Apr
Carpi U19
0 : 1
Novara U19
14 Apr
Novara U19
3 : 1
Parma U19
Page 1 of 6

Cremonese U19

(Away)
05 Sept
Lecco U19
0 : 4
Cremonese U19
16 May
Cremonese U19
1 : 2
Cesena U19
11 May
Cremonese U19
4 : 1
Cittadella U19
04 May
Reggiana U19
0 : 2
Cremonese U19
27 Apr
Cremonese U19
1 : 0
Sudtirol U19
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Inter U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cremonese U19 3
Venezia U19 1
TBD -
Verona U19 -
Cesena U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Novara U19 -
Atalanta U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bologna U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Brescia U19 -
Parma U19 2
Foggia U19 1
TBD -
Udinese U19 -
Chievo U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cittadella U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Cagliari U19 -
Sassuolo U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Perugia U19 -
Fiorentina U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Carpi U19 -
Salernitana U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan U19 -
Sampdoria U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ternana U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Entella U19 -
Spal U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Genoa U19 -
Juventus U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spezia U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Pro Vercelli U19 -
Avellino U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Torino U19 -
AS Roma U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benevento U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli U19 -
Frosinone U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Palermo U19 -
Lazio U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crotone U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Pescara U19 -
Ascoli U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Bari U19 -
1/32-finals
Inter U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cremonese U19 3
Verona U19 0
Cesena U19 1
Novara U19 6
Atalanta U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bologna U19 2
Brescia U19 1
Parma U19 3
Udinese U19 4
Chievo U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cittadella U19 3
Cagliari U19 2
Sassuolo U19 1
Perugia U19 2
Fiorentina U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli U19 1
Carpi U19 0
Salernitana U19 1
AC Milan U19 3
Sampdoria U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ternana U19 3
Entella U19 2
Spal U19 2
Genoa U19 3
Juventus U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spezia U19 4
Pro Vercelli U19 2
Avellino U19 1
Torino U19 7
AS Roma U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benevento U19 4
Napoli U19 3
Frosinone U19 0
Palermo U19 3
Lazio U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crotone U19 3
Pescara U19 2
Ascoli U19 1
Bari U19 2
1/16-finals
Inter U19 -
TBD -
Cremonese U19 3
Novara U19 5
Atalanta U19 -
TBD -
Bologna U19 2
Udinese U19 3
Chievo U19 -
TBD -
Cittadella U19 1
Perugia U19 3
Fiorentina U19 -
TBD -
Empoli U19 1
AC Milan U19 2
Sampdoria U19 -
TBD -
Ternana U19 3
Genoa U19 6
Juventus U19 -
TBD -
Spezia U19 0
Torino U19 4
AS Roma U19 -
TBD -
Benevento U19 3
Palermo U19 6
Lazio U19 -
TBD -
Crotone U19 0
Bari U19 1
1/8-finals
Inter U19 3
Novara U19 0
Atalanta U19 4
Udinese U19 2
Chievo U19 2
Perugia U19 0
Fiorentina U19 0
AC Milan U19 4
Sampdoria U19 1
Genoa U19 2
Juventus U19 2
Torino U19 3
AS Roma U19 2
Palermo U19 1
Lazio U19 2
Bari U19 3
Quarter-finals
Inter U19 0
Atalanta U19 1
Chievo U19 2
AC Milan U19 3
Genoa U19 0
Torino U19 2
AS Roma U19 5
Bari U19 0
Semi-finals
Atalanta U19 2
AC Milan U19 5
Torino U19 3
AS Roma U19 2
Final
AC Milan U19 0
Torino U19 3