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Novara U20 vs Modena U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Primavera - Group A 2011/2012
Novara U20 Logo

Novara U20

4 - 0
FT
Modena U20 Logo

Modena U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primavera - Group A 2011/2012 game between Novara U20 and Modena U20 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novara U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Novara U20
20%
Draws
32%
Modena U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Novara U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Novara U20 come out ahead of Modena U20 on wins alone.
  • Novara U20 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Novara U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Modena U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Novara U20 Modena U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.4 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2012 Primavera - Group A
Novara U20 vs Modena U20
4:0
Sep 24, 2011 Primavera - Group A
Modena U20 vs Novara U20
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Novara U20 58 / 100
Modena U20 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Novara U20 Modena U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novara U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Modena U20 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Novara U20 scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Modena U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Novara U20 VS Modena U20
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Novara U20

(Home)
20 Apr
Novara U20
0 : 2
Parma U20
13 Apr
Genoa U20
3 : 1
Novara U20
06 Apr
Novara U20
1 : 2
Juventus U20
03 Apr
Fiorentina U20
2 : 1
Novara U20
16 Mar
Novara U20
3 : 2
Grosseto U20
Page 1 of 6

Modena U20

(Away)
20 Apr
Verona U20
1 : 1
Modena U20
13 Apr
Modena U20
0 : 2
Cesena U20
06 Apr
Sassuolo U20
2 : 0
Modena U20
03 Apr
Modena U20
0 : 5
Inter U20
23 Mar
Bologna U20
1 : 1
Modena U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus U20 26 17 4 5 67:31 55
2 Torino U20 26 14 7 5 38:23 49
3 Fiorentina U20 26 13 9 4 45:23 48
4 Genoa U20 26 11 10 5 39:29 43
5 Sampdoria U20 26 11 8 7 44:34 41
6 Livorno U20 26 11 7 8 46:42 40
7 Empoli U20 26 12 4 10 35:39 40
8 Novara U20 26 8 11 7 44:35 35
9 Parma U20 26 9 6 11 40:45 33
10 Cagliari U20 26 7 8 11 33:46 29
11 Sassuolo U20 26 6 10 10 36:43 28
12 Siena U20 26 4 10 12 34:38 22
13 Modena U20 26 4 7 15 21:45 19
14 Grosseto U20 26 3 3 20 18:67 12
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Qualification)