Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Donadio C.
Assist: Romano M.
4'
4'
Sub
Gatti R. In: Zagnoni D.
Out: Gatti R.
36'
36'
Casarini F.
Assist: Zagnoni D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group A matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carpi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Novara have won more games recently than Carpi.
- Novara are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Novara Clean Sheet 16%
Carpi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Novara | Carpi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Carpi
2:2
Jul 13, 2020 Serie C - Group A
Carpi vs Novara
1:2
Jan 20, 2018 Serie B
Novara vs Carpi
1:0
Aug 26, 2017 Serie B
Carpi vs Novara
1:0
May 18, 2017 Serie B
Carpi vs Novara
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Novara Compare
Top Goalscorer Donadio C.
1 Goals Assists Leader da Graca C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Carpi Compare
Top Goalscorer Casarini F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Novara 41 / 100
Carpi 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Novara Carpi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Carpi conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.
Novara scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Novara stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Novara VS Carpi
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Novara
(Home) 02 Nov
Novara
1 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
25 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 0 Novara
18 Oct
AlbinoLeffe
2 : 2 Novara
10 Oct
Novara
0 : 2 Cittadella
04 Oct
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2 Novara
Page 1 of 6
02 Nov
Novara
1 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
10 Oct
Novara
0 : 2 Cittadella
26 Sept
Novara
0 : 2 Ospitaletto
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2 Carpi
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1 Pergolettese
Page 1 of 3
Carpi
(Away) 01 Nov
Carpi
0 : 5 Renate
28 Oct
Carpi
4 : 3 Ravenna
24 Oct
Alcione Milano
1 : 2 Carpi
17 Oct
Carpi
3 : 1 Lumezzane
10 Oct
Pergolettese
2 : 1 Carpi
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Alcione Milano
1 : 2 Carpi
10 Oct
Pergolettese
2 : 1 Carpi
03 Oct
Pro Vercelli
2 : 0 Carpi
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2 Carpi
06 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
0 : 1 Carpi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 19:6 | 30 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23:9 | 25 |
| 3 | Trento | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 17:6 | 24 |
| 4 | Arzignano | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:12 | 21 |
| 5 | Ospitaletto | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18:11 | 19 |
| 6 | Treviso | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12:9 | 19 |
| 7 | Alcione Milano | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 21:18 | 18 |
| 8 | Lecco | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:11 | 17 |
| 9 | AlbinoLeffe | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19:17 | 17 |
| 10 | Pergolettese | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:12 | 17 |
| 11 | Lumezzane | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13:17 | 13 |
| 12 | Desenzano Calvina | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 13 | Novara | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11:16 | 13 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11:20 | 13 |
| 15 | Carpi | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16:26 | 12 |
| 16 | Giana Erminio | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 17 | Juventus U23 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 18 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8:18 | 10 |
| 19 | Renate | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14:16 | 8 |
| 20 | Folgore Caratese | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
