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NovaRomentin vs Albenga

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Sun, Feb 16, 2025
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

NovaRomentin host Albenga in the Serie D - Group A 2024/2025. NovaRomentin go into this one as the clear favorite. NovaRomentin have averaged 0.94 scored and 2.52 conceded recently, against Albenga's 0.37 scored and 3.37 conceded. Past meetings favor NovaRomentin slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 16, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.92 vs 1.44, favoring NovaRomentin. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
NovaRomentin
15%
Draws
85%
Albenga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Albenga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to NovaRomentin lately — more wins on the board than Albenga.
  • Model gives Albenga a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
NovaRomentin Clean Sheet 16%
Albenga Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NovaRomentin Albenga
Matches Played 31 19
Wins 6 1
Draws 3 0
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 0.94 0.37
Goals Conceded 2.52 3.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Albenga
0:0
Oct 19, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Albenga vs NovaRomentin
0:5
Jan 28, 2024 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Albenga
3:2
Sep 30, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Albenga vs NovaRomentin
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NovaRomentin 10 / 100
Albenga 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NovaRomentin Albenga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albenga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albenga let in goals in 100% of their last 19 matches.

Difficult form: Albenga registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

NovaRomentin's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

NovaRomentin VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

NovaRomentin

(Home)
03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1
NovaRomentin
26 Apr
NovaRomentin
0 : 5
Vado
19 Apr
Club Milano
6 : 1
NovaRomentin
12 Apr
NovaRomentin
1 : 2
Imperia Calcio
02 Apr
Sestri Levante
5 : 2
NovaRomentin
Page 1 of 7

Albenga

(Away)
09 Feb
Albenga
0 : 7
Vado
02 Feb
Derthona FbC
2 : 1
Albenga
29 Jan
Albenga
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
26 Jan
Saluzzo
5 : 0
Albenga
19 Jan
Albenga
0 : 1
Borgaro
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)